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Patriotas vs Foz do Iguacu

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Kaua Gomes
28' Event
Lucas Alves
40' Event
Andrey Nunes

AI Match Summary

The Paranaense 2 2025 game between Patriotas and Foz do Iguacu finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Foz do Iguacu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Patriotas
6%
Draws
4%
Foz do Iguacu
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Patriotas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Patriotas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Patriotas a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paranaense 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Patriotas Clean Sheet 68%
Foz do Iguacu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Patriotas Foz do Iguacu
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 6 9
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.88 1.29
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2025 Paranaense 2
Patriotas vs Foz do Iguacu
2:5
May 12, 2024 Paranaense 2
Foz do Iguacu vs Patriotas
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Patriotas Compare

Top Goalscorer Andrey Nunes
1 Goals
Assists Leader Queiroz C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Foz do Iguacu Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Alves
3 Goals
Assists Leader Kaua Gomes
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Patriotas 95 / 100
Foz do Iguacu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Patriotas Foz do Iguacu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Patriotas scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Foz do Iguacu conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Patriotas has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Patriotas VS Foz do Iguacu
1.88 Goals Scored 1.29
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.29
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 71%
38% Over 3.5 57%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Galo Maringa972018:423
2Paranavai-PR952216:617
3Foz do Iguacu952217:917
4Patriotas94149:1513
5Nacional PR93249:1211
6Batel924310:1310
7Laranja Mecanica92435:910
8Toledo92346:139
9AA Iguacu913510:146
10Parana S.T.C.91357:126