Sport Picks
Patriotas vs Independiente Valle del Cauca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Colombia
Primera B Estadio La Independencia, Tunja 
Match Events
39'
39'
Mendez J.
45'
45'
Alvarez K.
54'
54'
Farias L.
AI Match Summary
Independiente Valle del Cauca in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Independiente Valle del Cauca.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
15%
53%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Independiente Valle del Cauca
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Patriotas haven't matched Independiente Valle del Cauca's recent run of results.
- 53% — that's where the model lands on Independiente Valle del Cauca taking it.
- Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Patriotas Clean Sheet 16%
Independiente Valle del Cauca Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Patriotas | Independiente Valle del Cauca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.11 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 Primera B
Patriotas vs Independiente Valle del Cauca
0:1
Mar 26, 2026 Primera B
Independiente Valle del Cauca vs Patriotas
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Patriotas Compare
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Independiente Valle del Cauca Compare
Top Goalscorer Farias L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Patriotas 28 / 100
Independiente Valle del Cauca 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Patriotas Independiente Valle del Cauca
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Independiente Valle del Cauca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Patriotas scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.
Independiente Valle del Cauca has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Patriotas went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Patriotas VS Independiente Valle del Cauca
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Patriotas
(Home) 03 Oct
Patriotas
0 : 1 Independiente Valle del Cauca
26 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
4 : 1 Patriotas
18 Sept
Patriotas
1 : 2 Union Magdalena
13 Sept
Quindio
1 : 2 Patriotas
10 Sept
Patriotas
3 : 1 Barranquilla
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Patriotas
0 : 1 Independiente Valle del Cauca
18 Sept
Patriotas
1 : 2 Union Magdalena
10 Sept
Patriotas
3 : 1 Barranquilla
07 Sept
Patriotas
1 : 0 Tigres Futbol Club
24 Aug
Patriotas
2 : 0 Atletico F.C.
Page 1 of 3
Independiente Valle del Cauca
(Away) 08 Oct
Independiente Valle del Cauca
1 : 1 Tigres Futbol Club
03 Oct
Patriotas
0 : 1 Independiente Valle del Cauca
28 Sept
Independiente Valle del Cauca
4 : 3 Orsomarso
22 Sept
Independiente Valle del Cauca
0 : 1 Inter Palmira
15 Sept
Barranquilla
0 : 2 Independiente Valle del Cauca
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Patriotas
0 : 1 Independiente Valle del Cauca
15 Sept
Barranquilla
0 : 2 Independiente Valle del Cauca
04 Sept
Bogota
0 : 2 Independiente Valle del Cauca
24 Aug
Real Santander
1 : 0 Independiente Valle del Cauca
07 Aug
Cartagena
0 : 2 Independiente Valle del Cauca
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Valle del Cauca | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 16:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Real Cundinamarca | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 19:10 | 23 |
| 3 | Tigres Futbol Club | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 14:5 | 22 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors de Cali | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:14 | 18 |
| 5 | Patriotas | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:17 | 17 |
| 6 | Cartagena | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Quindio | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9:8 | 16 |
| 8 | Atletico F.C. | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 9 | Inter Palmira | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 8:12 | 14 |
| 10 | Envigado | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 11 | Union Magdalena | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:12 | 12 |
| 12 | Bogota | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | 12 |
| 13 | Real Santander | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 13:18 | 12 |
| 14 | Orsomarso | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7:11 | 10 |
| 15 | Leones | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8:17 | 10 |
| 16 | Barranquilla | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:17 | 9 |
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)
