Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Patriotas vs Orsomarso

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio La Independencia, Tunja
Tue, Aug 11, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Patriotas host Orsomarso in the Primera B. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Patriotas at 1.13 goals for, 1.25 against; Orsomarso at 0.63 for, 1.13 against. Head-to-head, Patriotas have won 2 to Orsomarso's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Feb 9, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 0.94) point toward Patriotas. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Patriotas
35%
Draws
35%
Orsomarso
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Medium Confidence
  • Patriotas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Patriotas taking it.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Patriotas Clean Sheet 20%
Orsomarso Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Patriotas Orsomarso
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 6
Draws 9 12
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.13 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2026 Primera B
Orsomarso vs Patriotas
0:0
Aug 13, 2025 Primera B
Orsomarso vs Patriotas
2:2
Feb 27, 2025 Primera B
Patriotas vs Orsomarso
0:0
Sep 19, 2023 Primera B
Patriotas vs Orsomarso
1:0
Apr 15, 2023 Primera B
Orsomarso vs Patriotas
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Patriotas 42 / 100
Orsomarso 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Patriotas Orsomarso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Patriotas's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Orsomarso has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Patriotas has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Patriotas VS Orsomarso
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Patriotas

(Home)
31 Jul
Real Santander
2 : 2
Patriotas
26 Jul
Patriotas
3 : 1
Inter Palmira
20 May
Llaneros
3 : 1
Patriotas
15 May
Patriotas
2 : 3
Millonarios
11 May
Atletico F.C.
1 : 1
Patriotas
Page 1 of 7

Orsomarso

(Away)
31 Jul
Union Magdalena
0 : 0
Orsomarso
26 Jul
Orsomarso
1 : 0
Barranquilla
20 May
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 1
Orsomarso
16 May
Orsomarso
1 : 1
Ind. Medellin
12 May
Leones
2 : 0
Orsomarso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Valle del Cauca 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2 Leones 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
3 Cartagena 3 1 1 1 6:4 4
4 Patriotas 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
5 Real Cundinamarca 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
6 Envigado 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
7 Orsomarso 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
8 Bogota 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
9 Boca Juniors de Cali 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
10 Atletico F.C. 3 0 2 1 4:6 2
11 Real Santander 3 0 2 1 5:9 2
12 Barranquilla 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
13 Quindio 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
14 Tigres Futbol Club 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
15 Union Magdalena 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
16 Inter Palmira 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)