Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Alvarez K.
25'
25'
Hurtado J.
30'
30'
Contreras J.
AI Match Summary
The Primera B game between Patriotas and Orsomarso finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
20%
20%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Patriotas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Patriotas carry the better recent record into this one.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Patriotas Clean Sheet 20%
Orsomarso Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Patriotas | Orsomarso |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 5 |
| Draws | 9 | 12 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.11 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 20, 2026 Primera B
Patriotas vs Orsomarso
1:1
Feb 9, 2026 Primera B
Orsomarso vs Patriotas
0:0
Aug 13, 2025 Primera B
Orsomarso vs Patriotas
2:2
Feb 27, 2025 Primera B
Patriotas vs Orsomarso
0:0
Sep 19, 2023 Primera B
Patriotas vs Orsomarso
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Patriotas Compare
Top Goalscorer Alvarez K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Orsomarso Compare
Top Goalscorer Campaz B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Patriotas 32 / 100
Orsomarso 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Patriotas Orsomarso
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Patriotas's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Orsomarso has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.
Difficult form: Orsomarso registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Games between these two average 1.40 goals.
Scoring Trends
Patriotas VS Orsomarso
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Patriotas
(Home) 03 Oct
Patriotas
0 : 1 Independiente Valle del Cauca
26 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
4 : 1 Patriotas
18 Sept
Patriotas
1 : 2 Union Magdalena
13 Sept
Quindio
1 : 2 Patriotas
10 Sept
Patriotas
3 : 1 Barranquilla
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Patriotas
0 : 1 Independiente Valle del Cauca
18 Sept
Patriotas
1 : 2 Union Magdalena
10 Sept
Patriotas
3 : 1 Barranquilla
07 Sept
Patriotas
1 : 0 Tigres Futbol Club
24 Aug
Patriotas
2 : 0 Atletico F.C.
Page 1 of 3
Orsomarso
(Away) 06 Oct
Orsomarso
0 : 1 Quindio
01 Oct
Envigado
0 : 0 Orsomarso
28 Sept
Independiente Valle del Cauca
4 : 3 Orsomarso
22 Sept
Real Santander
0 : 0 Orsomarso
14 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 2 Atletico F.C.
Page 1 of 6
01 Oct
Envigado
0 : 0 Orsomarso
28 Sept
Independiente Valle del Cauca
4 : 3 Orsomarso
22 Sept
Real Santander
0 : 0 Orsomarso
20 Aug
Patriotas
1 : 1 Orsomarso
31 Jul
Union Magdalena
0 : 0 Orsomarso
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Valle del Cauca | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 16:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Real Cundinamarca | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:11 | 23 |
| 3 | Tigres Futbol Club | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 14:5 | 22 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors de Cali | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:14 | 18 |
| 5 | Patriotas | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:17 | 17 |
| 6 | Cartagena | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Quindio | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9:8 | 16 |
| 8 | Atletico F.C. | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 9 | Real Santander | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14:18 | 15 |
| 10 | Inter Palmira | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 8:12 | 14 |
| 11 | Envigado | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 12 | Union Magdalena | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:12 | 12 |
| 13 | Bogota | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | 12 |
| 14 | Orsomarso | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7:11 | 10 |
| 15 | Leones | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8:17 | 10 |
| 16 | Barranquilla | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:17 | 9 |
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)
