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Patriotas vs Rio Branco PR

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Ataliba G.
71' Event
Bessa dos Santos A.
72' Event
Eduardo Copetti

AI Match Summary

The Paranaense 2 game between Patriotas and Rio Branco PR finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Patriotas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Patriotas
20%
Draws
29%
Rio Branco PR
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Patriotas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Patriotas come out ahead of Rio Branco PR on wins alone.
  • Patriotas are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Paranaense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Patriotas Clean Sheet 18%
Rio Branco PR Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Patriotas Rio Branco PR
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 6 10
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Paranaense 2
Patriotas vs Rio Branco PR
3:1
Jun 8, 2024 Paranaense 2
Rio Branco PR vs Patriotas
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Patriotas Compare

Top Goalscorer Ataliba G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eduardo Copetti
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Rio Branco PR Compare

Top Goalscorer Bessa dos Santos A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Patriotas 58 / 100
Rio Branco PR 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Patriotas Rio Branco PR

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Patriotas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Patriotas found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Rio Branco PR let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Patriotas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Patriotas VS Rio Branco PR
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Patriotas

(Home)
24 May
Patriotas
0 : 2
Paranavai-PR
16 May
Paranavai-PR
1 : 2
Patriotas
10 May
Patriotas
1 : 0
Nacional PR
02 May
Nacional PR
0 : 0
Patriotas
25 Apr
Parana
2 : 1
Patriotas
Page 1 of 6

Rio Branco PR

(Away)
11 May
Araucaria
1 : 0
Rio Branco PR
03 May
Rio Branco PR
2 : 5
Araucaria
25 Apr
Rio Branco PR
3 : 1
Prudentopolis
19 Apr
Toledo
0 : 0
Rio Branco PR
11 Apr
Patriotas
3 : 1
Rio Branco PR
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Parana 9 7 2 0 14:3 23
2 Patriotas 9 6 1 2 16:9 19
3 Laranja Mecanica 9 4 2 3 7:9 14
4 Araucaria 9 3 3 3 13:14 12
5 Rio Branco PR 9 2 5 2 16:14 11
6 Paranavai-PR 9 3 1 5 10:11 10
7 Nacional PR 9 2 4 3 9:12 10
8 Toledo 9 2 4 3 6:10 10
9 Batel 9 2 3 4 10:10 9
10 Prudentopolis 9 1 1 7 4:13 4
Promotion - Paranaense 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paranaense 3 2027 (Main)