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Patriotas vs Tigres Futbol Club - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio La Independencia, Tunja
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Figueroa F.
17'
Rativa D.
18'
Renteria L.

AI Match Summary

Patriotas in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Patriotas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Patriotas
35%
Draws
45%
Tigres Futbol Club
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tigres Futbol Club

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Tigres Futbol Club have won more games recently than Patriotas.
  • Win probability leans Tigres Futbol Club's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Patriotas have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Patriotas Clean Sheet 16%
Tigres Futbol Club Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Patriotas Tigres Futbol Club
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 10 8
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Primera B
Patriotas vs Tigres Futbol Club
1:0
Mar 6, 2026 Primera B
Tigres Futbol Club vs Patriotas
1:1
Oct 6, 2025 Primera B
Tigres Futbol Club vs Patriotas
2:3
Apr 29, 2025 Primera B
Patriotas vs Tigres Futbol Club
2:0
Oct 11, 2023 Primera B
Patriotas vs Tigres Futbol Club
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Patriotas Compare

Top Goalscorer Figueroa F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Tigres Futbol Club Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Patriotas 15 / 100
Tigres Futbol Club 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Patriotas Tigres Futbol Club

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tigres Futbol Club Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Patriotas's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Tigres Futbol Club conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Patriotas stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Patriotas VS Tigres Futbol Club
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Patriotas

(Home)
11 Oct
Bogota
0 : 0
Patriotas
03 Oct
Patriotas
0 : 1
Independiente Valle del Cauca
26 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
4 : 1
Patriotas
18 Sept
Patriotas
1 : 2
Union Magdalena
13 Sept
Quindio
1 : 2
Patriotas
Page 1 of 6

Tigres Futbol Club

(Away)
08 Oct
Independiente Valle del Cauca
1 : 1
Tigres Futbol Club
04 Oct
Tigres Futbol Club
1 : 0
Inter Palmira
26 Sept
Tigres Futbol Club
1 : 1
Real Santander
22 Sept
Atletico F.C.
0 : 3
Tigres Futbol Club
14 Sept
Tigres Futbol Club
0 : 0
Bogota
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Valle del Cauca 12 7 3 2 16:7 24
2 Real Cundinamarca 12 7 2 3 19:11 23
3 Tigres Futbol Club 12 6 4 2 14:5 22
4 Boca Juniors de Cali 11 5 3 3 18:14 18
5 Patriotas 12 5 3 4 17:17 18
6 Cartagena 12 4 4 4 21:16 16
7 Quindio 11 4 4 3 9:8 16
8 Atletico F.C. 12 4 3 5 15:19 15
9 Real Santander 12 3 6 3 14:18 15
10 Inter Palmira 11 4 2 5 8:12 14
11 Bogota 12 3 4 5 9:13 13
12 Envigado 11 2 6 3 12:11 12
13 Union Magdalena 11 3 3 5 10:12 12
14 Orsomarso 11 2 4 5 7:11 10
15 Leones 11 2 4 5 8:17 10
16 Barranquilla 11 2 3 6 11:17 9
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)