Sport Picks
Patriotas vs Union Magdalena - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Colombia
Primera B Estadio La Independencia, Tunja 
Match Events
14'
14'
Riuz J.
28'
28'
Arrieta G.
31'
31'
Sagrera W.
AI Match Summary
The Primera B game between Patriotas and Union Magdalena finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Union Magdalena.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
30%
42%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Union Magdalena
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
28%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Union Magdalena come out ahead of Patriotas on wins alone.
- Model gives Patriotas a 28% chance of winning this.
- Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Patriotas Clean Sheet 68%
Union Magdalena Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Patriotas | Union Magdalena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.11 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 18, 2026 Primera B
Patriotas vs Union Magdalena
1:2
Mar 16, 2026 Primera B
Union Magdalena vs Patriotas
2:1
Oct 4, 2022 Primera A
Patriotas vs Union Magdalena
3:1
Apr 9, 2022 Primera A
Union Magdalena vs Patriotas
0:1
Oct 3, 2019 Primera A
Patriotas vs Union Magdalena
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Patriotas Compare
Top Goalscorer Riuz J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Union Magdalena Compare
Top Goalscorer Arrieta G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Blanco R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Patriotas 50 / 100
Union Magdalena 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Patriotas Union Magdalena
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Patriotas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Patriotas found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).
Defensive concern: Union Magdalena conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Solid form: Patriotas remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Patriotas VS Union Magdalena
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Patriotas
(Home) 03 Oct
Patriotas
0 : 1 Independiente Valle del Cauca
26 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
4 : 1 Patriotas
18 Sept
Patriotas
1 : 2 Union Magdalena
13 Sept
Quindio
1 : 2 Patriotas
10 Sept
Patriotas
3 : 1 Barranquilla
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Patriotas
0 : 1 Independiente Valle del Cauca
18 Sept
Patriotas
1 : 2 Union Magdalena
10 Sept
Patriotas
3 : 1 Barranquilla
07 Sept
Patriotas
1 : 0 Tigres Futbol Club
24 Aug
Patriotas
2 : 0 Atletico F.C.
Page 1 of 3
Union Magdalena
(Away) 07 Oct
Boca Juniors de Cali
1 : 1 Union Magdalena
03 Oct
Real Santander
1 : 3 Union Magdalena
29 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 1 Cartagena
25 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 1 Santa Fe
18 Sept
Patriotas
1 : 2 Union Magdalena
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Boca Juniors de Cali
1 : 1 Union Magdalena
03 Oct
Real Santander
1 : 3 Union Magdalena
18 Sept
Patriotas
1 : 2 Union Magdalena
12 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
2 : 1 Union Magdalena
01 Sept
Envigado
0 : 1 Union Magdalena
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Valle del Cauca | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 16:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Real Cundinamarca | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 19:10 | 23 |
| 3 | Tigres Futbol Club | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 14:5 | 22 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors de Cali | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:14 | 18 |
| 5 | Patriotas | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:17 | 17 |
| 6 | Cartagena | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Quindio | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9:8 | 16 |
| 8 | Atletico F.C. | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 9 | Inter Palmira | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 8:12 | 14 |
| 10 | Envigado | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 11 | Union Magdalena | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:12 | 12 |
| 12 | Bogota | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | 12 |
| 13 | Real Santander | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 13:18 | 12 |
| 14 | Orsomarso | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7:11 | 10 |
| 15 | Leones | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8:17 | 10 |
| 16 | Barranquilla | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:17 | 9 |
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)
