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Patrocinense vs Araguari

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2021
Patrocinense Logo

Patrocinense

4 - 0
FT
Araguari Logo

Araguari

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Patrocinense in this Mineiro 3 2021 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Patrocinense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Patrocinense
15%
Draws
0%
Araguari
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Patrocinense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Patrocinense lately — more wins on the board than Araguari.
  • Patrocinense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Patrocinense Clean Sheet 20%
Araguari Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Patrocinense Araguari
Matches Played 32 16
Wins 9 0
Draws 7 2
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 0.78 0.19
Goals Conceded 1.09 3.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2021 Mineiro 3
Patrocinense vs Araguari
4:0
Oct 2, 2021 Mineiro 3
Araguari vs Patrocinense
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Patrocinense 85 / 100
Araguari 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Patrocinense Araguari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Patrocinense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Araguari let in goals in 94% of their last 16 matches.

Away concern: Araguari has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Patrocinense found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Patrocinense VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Patrocinense

(Home)
25 Jul
Democrata SL
2 : 1
Patrocinense
19 Jul
Patrocinense
1 : 4
Democrata SL
12 Jul
Mamore
1 : 0
Patrocinense
04 Jul
Patrocinense
0 : 1
Guarani-MG
01 Jul
Caldense
1 : 2
Patrocinense
Page 1 of 7

Araguari

(Away)
19 Oct
Paracatu
5 : 0
Araguari
12 Oct
Araguari
0 : 7
Essube
05 Oct
Nacional Uberaba
4 : 0
Araguari
28 Sept
Uberaba
2 : 1
Araguari
21 Sept
Araguari
0 : 6
Uberaba
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santarritense 8 4 3 1 9:4 15
2 Varginha 8 4 2 2 18:13 14
3 Pocos de Caldas 8 3 5 0 14:5 14
4 Tres Coracoes 8 3 1 4 9:15 10
5 Figueirense Esporte Clube 8 0 1 7 6:19 1
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uberaba 8 5 1 2 25:7 16
2 Araxa 8 4 2 2 17:7 14
3 Patrocinense 8 3 2 3 10:11 11
4 Inter de Minas 8 2 5 1 7:6 11
5 Araguari 8 0 2 6 2:30 2
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America TO 8 4 3 1 10:5 15
2 Manchester Futebol 8 4 2 2 10:5 14
3 Contagem 8 4 1 3 8:5 13
4 Boston City 8 4 1 3 11:7 13
5 Betis 8 0 1 7 3:20 1
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2021 (Play Offs)