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Patrocinense vs Araxa

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2021
Patrocinense Logo

Patrocinense

1 - 0
FT
Araxa Logo

Araxa

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Patrocinense in this Mineiro 3 2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Patrocinense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Patrocinense
20%
Draws
50%
Araxa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Araxa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Araxa lately — more wins on the board than Patrocinense.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Araxa taking it.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Patrocinense Clean Sheet 20%
Araxa Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Patrocinense Araxa
Matches Played 30 20
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 16 4
Goals Scored 0.67 1.05
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.65
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2021 Mineiro 3
Araxa vs Patrocinense
4:1
Oct 9, 2021 Mineiro 3
Patrocinense vs Araxa
1:0
Mar 23, 2017 Mineiro 2
Patrocinense vs Araxa
2:0
Mar 2, 2017 Mineiro 2
Araxa vs Patrocinense
1:1
Mar 12, 2016 Mineiro 2
Araxa vs Patrocinense
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Patrocinense 24 / 100
Araxa 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Patrocinense Araxa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araxa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Patrocinense scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Araxa conceded in 50% of 20 recent games.

Solid form: Patrocinense remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Patrocinense VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Patrocinense

(Home)
25 Jul
Democrata SL
2 : 1
Patrocinense
19 Jul
Patrocinense
1 : 4
Democrata SL
12 Jul
Mamore
1 : 0
Patrocinense
04 Jul
Patrocinense
0 : 1
Guarani-MG
01 Jul
Caldense
1 : 2
Patrocinense
Page 1 of 6

Araxa

(Away)
07 Nov
Mamore
2 : 1
Araxa
28 Oct
Araxa
1 : 1
Mamore
14 Oct
Nacional Uberaba
1 : 1
Araxa
08 Oct
Araxa
1 : 0
Pirapora
02 Oct
Mamore
2 : 1
Araxa
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santarritense 8 4 3 1 9:4 15
2 Varginha 8 4 2 2 18:13 14
3 Pocos de Caldas 8 3 5 0 14:5 14
4 Tres Coracoes 8 3 1 4 9:15 10
5 Figueirense Esporte Clube 8 0 1 7 6:19 1
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uberaba 8 5 1 2 25:7 16
2 Araxa 8 4 2 2 17:7 14
3 Patrocinense 8 3 2 3 10:11 11
4 Inter de Minas 8 2 5 1 7:6 11
5 Araguari 8 0 2 6 2:30 2
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America TO 8 4 3 1 10:5 15
2 Manchester Futebol 8 4 2 2 10:5 14
3 Contagem 8 4 1 3 8:5 13
4 Boston City 8 4 1 3 11:7 13
5 Betis 8 0 1 7 3:20 1
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2021 (Play Offs)