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Patrocinense vs Mamore

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Douglas Zielke
43' Event
Joaninha
51' Event
Almeida M.

AI Match Summary

Mamore in this Mineiro 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mamore.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Patrocinense
15%
Draws
59%
Mamore
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mamore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Patrocinense lately — more wins on the board than Mamore.
  • 59% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Mineiro 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Patrocinense Clean Sheet 27%
Mamore Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Patrocinense Mamore
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 6 10
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.67 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Mineiro 2
Mamore vs Patrocinense
1:0
May 30, 2026 Mineiro 2
Patrocinense vs Mamore
1:3
Jun 16, 2025 Mineiro 2
Mamore vs Patrocinense
0:1
May 10, 2025 Mineiro 2
Patrocinense vs Mamore
0:1
Mar 19, 2017 Mineiro 2
Mamore vs Patrocinense
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Patrocinense Compare

Top Goalscorer Almeida M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Mamore Compare

Top Goalscorer Douglas Zielke
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joaninha
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Patrocinense 33 / 100
Mamore 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Patrocinense Mamore

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mamore Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mamore has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: Patrocinense scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Patrocinense went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Patrocinense VS Mamore
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 25%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Patrocinense

(Home)
25 Jul
Democrata SL
2 : 1
Patrocinense
19 Jul
Patrocinense
1 : 4
Democrata SL
12 Jul
Mamore
1 : 0
Patrocinense
04 Jul
Patrocinense
0 : 1
Guarani-MG
01 Jul
Caldense
1 : 2
Patrocinense
Page 1 of 6

Mamore

(Away)
08 Aug
Democrata SL
3 : 1
Mamore
02 Aug
Mamore
1 : 2
Democrata SL
25 Jul
Uberaba
0 : 0
Mamore
18 Jul
Mamore
2 : 1
Uberaba
12 Jul
Mamore
1 : 0
Patrocinense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uberaba 10 7 2 1 17:9 23
2 Boa 10 5 2 3 12:9 17
3 Mamore 10 3 3 4 8:9 12
4 Patrocinense 10 3 3 4 9:9 12
5 Guarani-MG 10 3 3 4 12:14 12
6 Caldense 10 1 3 6 6:14 6
Promotion - Mineiro 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2027 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valeriodoce 10 5 5 0 9:4 20
2 Democrata SL 10 5 2 3 19:10 17
3 Aymores 10 4 4 2 17:9 16
4 Villa Nova AC 10 4 2 4 17:12 14
5 Coimbra Esporte Clube 10 2 4 4 12:12 10
6 Ipatinga 10 1 1 8 6:33 -2
Promotion - Mineiro 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2027 (Main)