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Patrocinense vs Nacional Uberaba

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Mineiro 2 2014
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Mineiro 2 2014 game between Patrocinense and Nacional Uberaba finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Patrocinense
20%
Draws
50%
Nacional Uberaba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nacional Uberaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Patrocinense haven't matched Nacional Uberaba's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Campeonato Mineiro 2 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Patrocinense Clean Sheet 20%
Nacional Uberaba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Patrocinense Nacional Uberaba
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.67 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.36 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2014 Mineiro 2
Patrocinense vs Nacional Uberaba
2:2
Feb 2, 2014 Mineiro 2
Nacional Uberaba vs Patrocinense
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Patrocinense 36 / 100
Nacional Uberaba 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Patrocinense Nacional Uberaba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nacional Uberaba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Nacional Uberaba let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

Attacking prowess: Patrocinense scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Patrocinense went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Patrocinense VS Nacional Uberaba
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.6
88% Over 1.5 80%
25% Over 2.5 40%
13% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Patrocinense

(Home)
25 Jul
Democrata SL
2 : 1
Patrocinense
19 Jul
Patrocinense
1 : 4
Democrata SL
12 Jul
Mamore
1 : 0
Patrocinense
04 Jul
Patrocinense
0 : 1
Guarani-MG
01 Jul
Caldense
1 : 2
Patrocinense
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Nacional Uberaba

(Away)
11 Oct
Juventus Minasnovense
2 : 2
Nacional Uberaba
06 Oct
Nacional Uberaba
1 : 0
Passos
20 Sept
Essube
3 : 1
Nacional Uberaba
07 Sept
Boa
2 : 0
Nacional Uberaba
01 Sept
Nacional Uberaba
1 : 1
Paracatu
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