Sport Picks

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Patrocinense vs Uberaba

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Silva F.

AI Match Summary

Uberaba in this Mineiro 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Uberaba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Patrocinense
30%
Draws
34%
Uberaba
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Patrocinense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Uberaba lately — more wins on the board than Patrocinense.
  • Patrocinense are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Patrocinense Clean Sheet 68%
Uberaba Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Patrocinense Uberaba
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 9 19
Draws 7 10
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Mineiro 2
Patrocinense vs Uberaba
0:1
Jun 17, 2026 Mineiro 2
Uberaba vs Patrocinense
1:1
Jun 7, 2025 Mineiro 2
Uberaba vs Patrocinense
0:1
May 19, 2025 Mineiro 2
Patrocinense vs Uberaba
2:0
Nov 6, 2021 Mineiro 3
Patrocinense vs Uberaba
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Patrocinense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Uberaba Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Patrocinense 46 / 100
Uberaba 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Patrocinense Uberaba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Patrocinense found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Uberaba has conceded goals in 57% of their last 37 outings.

Patrocinense has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Patrocinense VS Uberaba
1 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Patrocinense

(Home)
12 Jul
Mamore
1 : 0
Patrocinense
04 Jul
Patrocinense
0 : 1
Guarani-MG
01 Jul
Caldense
1 : 2
Patrocinense
28 Jun
Patrocinense
0 : 1
Uberaba
25 Jun
Patrocinense
0 : 0
Boa
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Uberaba

(Away)
18 Jul
Mamore
2 : 1
Uberaba
12 Jul
Caldense
2 : 3
Uberaba
05 Jul
Uberaba
1 : 0
Mamore
01 Jul
Uberaba
3 : 1
Boa
28 Jun
Patrocinense
0 : 1
Uberaba
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uberaba1072117:923
2Boa1052312:917
3Mamore103348:912
4Patrocinense103349:912
5Guarani-MG1033412:1412
6Caldense101366:146
Promotion - Mineiro 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2027 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Valeriodoce105509:420
2Democrata SL1052319:1017
3Aymores1044217:916
4Villa Nova AC1042417:1214
5Coimbra Esporte Clube1024412:1210
6Ipatinga101186:33-2
Promotion - Mineiro 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2027 (Main)