Sport Picks

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Patrocinense vs Uberaba

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Silva F.

AI Match Summary

Uberaba in this Mineiro 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Uberaba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Patrocinense
15%
Draws
65%
Uberaba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uberaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Uberaba lately — more wins on the board than Patrocinense.
  • Uberaba are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Patrocinense Clean Sheet 22%
Uberaba Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Patrocinense Uberaba
Matches Played 32 36
Wins 9 18
Draws 7 10
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 0.78 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.09 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Mineiro 2
Patrocinense vs Uberaba
0:1
Jun 17, 2026 Mineiro 2
Uberaba vs Patrocinense
1:1
Jun 7, 2025 Mineiro 2
Uberaba vs Patrocinense
0:1
May 19, 2025 Mineiro 2
Patrocinense vs Uberaba
2:0
Nov 6, 2021 Mineiro 3
Patrocinense vs Uberaba
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Patrocinense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Uberaba Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Patrocinense 10 / 100
Uberaba 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Patrocinense Uberaba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uberaba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Patrocinense found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (32 games).

Uberaba has conceded goals in 56% of their last 36 outings.

Patrocinense has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Patrocinense VS Uberaba
1 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Patrocinense

(Home)
25 Jul
Democrata SL
2 : 1
Patrocinense
19 Jul
Patrocinense
1 : 4
Democrata SL
12 Jul
Mamore
1 : 0
Patrocinense
04 Jul
Patrocinense
0 : 1
Guarani-MG
01 Jul
Caldense
1 : 2
Patrocinense
Page 1 of 7

Uberaba

(Away)
25 Jul
Uberaba
0 : 0
Mamore
18 Jul
Mamore
2 : 1
Uberaba
12 Jul
Caldense
2 : 3
Uberaba
05 Jul
Uberaba
1 : 0
Mamore
01 Jul
Uberaba
3 : 1
Boa
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uberaba 10 7 2 1 17:9 23
2 Boa 10 5 2 3 12:9 17
3 Mamore 10 3 3 4 8:9 12
4 Patrocinense 10 3 3 4 9:9 12
5 Guarani-MG 10 3 3 4 12:14 12
6 Caldense 10 1 3 6 6:14 6
Promotion - Mineiro 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2027 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valeriodoce 10 5 5 0 9:4 20
2 Democrata SL 10 5 2 3 19:10 17
3 Aymores 10 4 4 2 17:9 16
4 Villa Nova AC 10 4 2 4 17:12 14
5 Coimbra Esporte Clube 10 2 4 4 12:12 10
6 Ipatinga 10 1 1 8 6:33 -2
Promotion - Mineiro 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2027 (Main)