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Patrocinense vs URT

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Antonio Junior
48' Event
Paulo L.
(Penalty)
51' Event
Ventura L.

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 2 2025 game between Patrocinense and URT finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Patrocinense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Patrocinense
20%
Draws
38%
URT
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Patrocinense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • URT carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Patrocinense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Patrocinense Clean Sheet 68%
URT Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Patrocinense URT
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 8 14
Draws 6 9
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2025 Mineiro 2
Patrocinense vs URT
2:1
May 24, 2025 Mineiro 2
URT vs Patrocinense
0:0
Feb 2, 2022 Mineiro
Patrocinense vs URT
1:0
Apr 18, 2021 Mineiro
Patrocinense vs URT
0:1
Jan 26, 2020 Mineiro
URT vs Patrocinense
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Patrocinense Compare

Top Goalscorer Ventura L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

URT Compare

Top Goalscorer Antonio Junior
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Patrocinense 51 / 100
URT 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Patrocinense URT

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: URT has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Patrocinense scored in 46% of their last 28 outings.

URT let in goals in 52% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Patrocinense VS URT
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Patrocinense

(Home)
12 Jul
Mamore
1 : 0
Patrocinense
04 Jul
Patrocinense
0 : 1
Guarani-MG
01 Jul
Caldense
1 : 2
Patrocinense
28 Jun
Patrocinense
0 : 1
Uberaba
25 Jun
Patrocinense
0 : 0
Boa
Page 1 of 6

URT

(Away)
07 Mar
North Esporte Clube
1 : 0
URT
04 Mar
URT
1 : 2
North Esporte Clube
28 Feb
URT
3 : 1
Tombense
20 Feb
Tombense
0 : 1
URT
14 Feb
URT
1 : 2
Cruzeiro
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Patrocinense105237:617
2URT1044211:816
3Mamore1034311:1113
4Uberaba1025311:1111
5Caldense102539:1011
6Varginha102449:1210
Promotion - Mineiro 2 2025 (Final Stage)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ipatinga1052311:1017
2North Esporte Clube1044217:1316
3Democrata SL103439:813
4Valeriodoce1034312:1213
5Guarani-MG1033410:1012
6Nacional de Muriae1023510:169
Promotion - Mineiro 2 2025 (Final Stage)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2025 (Main)