Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Patrocinense vs URT

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Antonio Junior
48' Event
Paulo L.
(Penalty)
51' Event
Ventura L.

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 2 2025 game between Patrocinense and URT finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Patrocinense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Patrocinense
15%
Draws
57%
URT
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: URT

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • URT carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Patrocinense Clean Sheet 23%
URT Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Patrocinense URT
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 6 9
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 0.67 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2025 Mineiro 2
Patrocinense vs URT
2:1
May 24, 2025 Mineiro 2
URT vs Patrocinense
0:0
Feb 2, 2022 Mineiro
Patrocinense vs URT
1:0
Apr 18, 2021 Mineiro
Patrocinense vs URT
0:1
Jan 26, 2020 Mineiro
URT vs Patrocinense
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Patrocinense Compare

Top Goalscorer Ventura L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

URT Compare

Top Goalscorer Antonio Junior
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Patrocinense 33 / 100
URT 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Patrocinense URT

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick URT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: URT has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Patrocinense scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

URT let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Patrocinense VS URT
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Patrocinense

(Home)
25 Jul
Democrata SL
2 : 1
Patrocinense
19 Jul
Patrocinense
1 : 4
Democrata SL
12 Jul
Mamore
1 : 0
Patrocinense
04 Jul
Patrocinense
0 : 1
Guarani-MG
01 Jul
Caldense
1 : 2
Patrocinense
Page 1 of 6

URT

(Away)
07 Mar
North Esporte Clube
1 : 0
URT
04 Mar
URT
1 : 2
North Esporte Clube
28 Feb
URT
3 : 1
Tombense
20 Feb
Tombense
0 : 1
URT
14 Feb
URT
1 : 2
Cruzeiro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Patrocinense 10 5 2 3 7:6 17
2 URT 10 4 4 2 11:8 16
3 Mamore 10 3 4 3 11:11 13
4 Uberaba 10 2 5 3 11:11 11
5 Caldense 10 2 5 3 9:10 11
6 Varginha 10 2 4 4 9:12 10
Promotion - Mineiro 2 2025 (Final Stage)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ipatinga 10 5 2 3 11:10 17
2 North Esporte Clube 10 4 4 2 17:13 16
3 Democrata SL 10 3 4 3 9:8 13
4 Valeriodoce 10 3 4 3 12:12 13
5 Guarani-MG 10 3 3 4 10:10 12
6 Nacional de Muriae 10 2 3 5 10:16 9
Promotion - Mineiro 2 2025 (Final Stage)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2025 (Main)