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Patronage Sainte-Anne vs Diables Noirs

Republic of the Congo Republic of the Congo

Ligue 1 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Patronage Sainte-Anne play Diables Noirs in the Ligue 1 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Patronage Sainte-Anne averaged 0.61 goals scored and 1.82 conceded. Diables Noirs averaged 1.53 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, Patronage Sainte-Anne won 1, Diables Noirs won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 9, 2025 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Patronage Sainte-Anne and 1.00 for Diables Noirs. This points to a Diables Noirs double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Patronage Sainte-Anne
40%
Draws
30%
Diables Noirs
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Diables Noirs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Patronage Sainte-Anne picked up more points recently compared to Diables Noirs.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31%
Patronage Sainte-Anne Clean Sheet 23%
Diables Noirs Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Patronage Sainte-Anne Diables Noirs
Matches Played 28 15
Wins 3 7
Draws 6 0
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 0.61 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.82 1.07
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2025 Ligue 1
Diables Noirs vs Patronage Sainte-Anne
0:1
Apr 16, 2023 Ligue 1
Patronage Sainte-Anne vs Diables Noirs
2:8
Nov 20, 2022 Ligue 1
Patronage Sainte-Anne vs Diables Noirs
0:0
May 1, 2022 Ligue 1
Diables Noirs vs Patronage Sainte-Anne
2:0
Jan 9, 2022 Ligue 1
Patronage Sainte-Anne vs Diables Noirs
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Patronage Sainte-Anne 32 / 100
Diables Noirs 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Patronage Sainte-Anne Diables Noirs

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Diables Noirs or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Patronage Sainte-Anne attacking → ← attacking Diables Noirs

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Patronage Sainte-Anne scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Diables Noirs let in goals in 67% of their last 15 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Patronage Sainte-Anne went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Diables Noirs lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 21
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Otoho d'Oyo26194342:1461
2Diables Noirs261410248:2252
3Etoile du Congo26136730:1745
4Inter Club26126826:1842
5Kondzo26126831:2242
6Leopard26119631:2142
7JS Talangai261151026:2938
8AS BNG26791025:3130
9V.Club Mokanda26781117:2529
10CARA Brazzaville26681224:3526
11Nathalys26671313:2725
12Juk26731616:3224
13Cheminots26661421:3424
14Patronage Sainte-Anne26551619:4220