Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
Orlando J.
Penalty Missed
21'
21'
Pereyra V. L.
Penalty Missed
45'
45'
De La Vega F.
AI Match Summary
The Primera Nacional game between Patronato and Almagro finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Almagro.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Almagro carry the better recent record into this one.
- 35% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Patronato Clean Sheet 68%
Almagro Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Patronato | Almagro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 9 |
| Draws | 15 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs Almagro
0:1
Apr 11, 2026 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs Patronato
0:1
Sep 28, 2025 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs Almagro
0:0
May 25, 2025 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs Patronato
2:1
Oct 7, 2023 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs Patronato
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Patronato Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Almagro Compare
Top Goalscorer Orlando J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Patronato 41 / 100
Almagro 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Patronato Almagro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Patronato Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Almagro let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Patronato went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Patronato's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Patronato VS Almagro
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Patronato
(Home) 21 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 1 Patronato
13 Sept
Patronato
0 : 0 Temperley
06 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
0 : 0 Patronato
30 Aug
Patronato
0 : 1 Almagro
26 Aug
Patronato
2 : 0 Atletico Atlanta
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Patronato
0 : 0 Temperley
30 Aug
Patronato
0 : 1 Almagro
26 Aug
Patronato
2 : 0 Atletico Atlanta
22 Aug
Patronato
3 : 3 Gimnasia Jujuy
01 Aug
Patronato
3 : 3 Quilmes
Page 1 of 3
Almagro
(Away) 19 Sept
Temperley
3 : 1 Almagro
12 Sept
Almagro
2 : 2 Deportivo Maipu
06 Sept
Almagro
1 : 2 Gimnasia Jujuy
30 Aug
Patronato
0 : 1 Almagro
22 Aug
Almagro
0 : 0 Colegiales
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Temperley
3 : 1 Almagro
30 Aug
Patronato
0 : 1 Almagro
15 Aug
Deportivo Moron
2 : 0 Almagro
09 Aug
Quilmes
1 : 1 Almagro
27 Jul
Atletico Atlanta
1 : 3 Almagro
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 35:25 | 58 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 48:29 | 55 |
| 3 | Godoy Cruz | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 38:26 | 52 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 44:28 | 49 |
| 5 | Colon Santa Fe | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 38:25 | 48 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 23:17 | 46 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 27:25 | 42 |
| 8 | Ciudad Bolivar | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 24:27 | 39 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 22:20 | 37 |
| 10 | Chaco For Ever | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 27:29 | 36 |
| 11 | Defensores de Belgrano | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 23:26 | 36 |
| 12 | Racing Cordoba | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 26:36 | 35 |
| 13 | All Boys | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 17:26 | 32 |
| 14 | CA Mitre | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 27:37 | 32 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 19:28 | 31 |
| 16 | San Miguel | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 24:34 | 31 |
| 17 | San Telmo | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 23:34 | 31 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 21:34 | 26 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 30 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 31:15 | 54 |
| 2 | Temperley | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 36:24 | 53 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 45:36 | 53 |
| 4 | Atletico Atlanta | 30 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 34:28 | 49 |
| 5 | Midland | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 34:25 | 47 |
| 6 | San Martin S.J. | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 33:27 | 45 |
| 7 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 31:27 | 45 |
| 8 | Atl. Rafaela | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 25:26 | 42 |
| 9 | Deportivo Maipu | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 37:31 | 41 |
| 10 | Colegiales | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 29:30 | 40 |
| 11 | San Martin T. | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 32:30 | 39 |
| 12 | Agropecuario | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 26:34 | 36 |
| 13 | Quilmes | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 28:27 | 35 |
| 14 | Almagro | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 26:36 | 35 |
| 15 | Nueva Chicago | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 22:29 | 33 |
| 16 | Patronato | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 24:31 | 31 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 22:31 | 30 |
| 18 | Club Atletico Guemes | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 23:51 | 23 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
