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Patronato vs Atletico Atlanta

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella
Mon, Jul 20, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Patronato host Atletico Atlanta in the Primera Nacional. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Atletico Atlanta have shipped 0.75 goals a game lately, while Patronato have conceded 0.75 and scored 1. Head-to-head, Patronato have won 1 to Atletico Atlanta's 0, with 4 draws. They last met on Mar 3, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 1.00, favoring Atletico Atlanta. Under 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Patronato
44%
Draws
20%
Atletico Atlanta
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico Atlanta have won more games recently than Patronato.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Patronato Clean Sheet 23%
Atletico Atlanta Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Patronato Atletico Atlanta
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 15
Draws 14 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2026 Primera Nacional
Atletico Atlanta vs Patronato
0:0
Aug 31, 2025 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs Atletico Atlanta
0:0
Apr 26, 2025 Primera Nacional
Atletico Atlanta vs Patronato
1:1
Mar 3, 2012 Primera Nacional
Atletico Atlanta vs Patronato
0:0
Sep 4, 2011 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs Atletico Atlanta
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Patronato 37 / 100
Atletico Atlanta 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Patronato Atletico Atlanta

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Patronato remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Patronato scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Atletico Atlanta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Patronato VS Atletico Atlanta
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

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6CA Estudiantes2187618:1631
7Almirante Brown2187615:1331
8Deportivo Madryn2078527:2229
9Godoy Cruz2077620:1728
10San Miguel20510517:2125
11Racing Cordoba2166920:2524
12Defensores de Belgrano2058714:1823
13All Boys21410713:2022
14CA Mitre2149820:2721
15San Telmo2048816:2120
16Acassuso20541115:2319
17Central Norte2047912:2119
18Chaco For Ever20371017:2616
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnasia Jujuy20115432:2238
2Atletico Atlanta20113625:1536
3Temperley21810321:1734
4Tristan Suarez2089317:1133
5Midland2086621:1530
6San Martin T.2179519:1530
7Deportivo Maipu2185827:2129
8Atl. Rafaela2176815:1827
9San Martin S.J.1975720:1926
10Nueva Chicago2068618:1826
11Gimnasia y Tiro2067719:2125
12Almagro2074916:2225
13Quilmes2066818:1624
14Colegiales2065918:2023
15Chacarita Juniors2065916:2123
16Patronato20410613:1722
17Agropecuario2148915:2520
18Club Atletico Guemes20541118:3419