Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Patronato vs Atletico Atlanta

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella, Paraná
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Diaz G.
Assist: Miro A.
30'
Picco A.
46'
Sub
Miro A. In: Cortes B.
Out: Miro A.

AI Match Summary

Patronato in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Patronato.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Patronato
35%
Draws
35%
Atletico Atlanta
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Atletico Atlanta have won more games recently than Patronato.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Patronato Clean Sheet 68%
Atletico Atlanta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Patronato Atletico Atlanta
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 5 14
Draws 15 4
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 0.83 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.07 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs Atletico Atlanta
2:0
Mar 3, 2026 Primera Nacional
Atletico Atlanta vs Patronato
0:0
Aug 31, 2025 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs Atletico Atlanta
0:0
Apr 26, 2025 Primera Nacional
Atletico Atlanta vs Patronato
1:1
Mar 3, 2012 Primera Nacional
Atletico Atlanta vs Patronato
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Patronato Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cortes B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Atletico Atlanta Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Patronato 41 / 100
Atletico Atlanta 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Patronato Atletico Atlanta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Patronato Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Patronato remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Patronato scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Atletico Atlanta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 0.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Patronato VS Atletico Atlanta
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Patronato

(Home)
21 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 1
Patronato
13 Sept
Patronato
0 : 0
Temperley
06 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
0 : 0
Patronato
30 Aug
Patronato
0 : 1
Almagro
26 Aug
Patronato
2 : 0
Atletico Atlanta
Page 1 of 6

Atletico Atlanta

(Away)
21 Sept
Tristan Suarez
0 : 0
Atletico Atlanta
12 Sept
Atletico Atlanta
2 : 0
Club Atletico Guemes
05 Sept
Chacarita Juniors
0 : 1
Atletico Atlanta
30 Aug
Atletico Atlanta
0 : 1
San Martin S.J.
26 Aug
Patronato
2 : 0
Atletico Atlanta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 30 17 7 6 35:25 58
2 Deportivo Moron 30 16 7 7 48:29 55
3 Godoy Cruz 30 15 7 8 38:26 52
4 Deportivo Madryn 30 13 10 7 44:28 49
5 Colon Santa Fe 30 13 9 8 38:25 48
6 Almirante Brown 30 12 10 8 23:17 46
7 CA Estudiantes 30 11 9 10 27:25 42
8 Ciudad Bolivar 30 9 12 9 24:27 39
9 Los Andes 30 8 13 9 22:20 37
10 Chaco For Ever 30 9 9 12 27:29 36
11 Defensores de Belgrano 30 8 12 10 23:26 36
12 Racing Cordoba 30 9 8 13 26:36 35
13 All Boys 30 6 14 10 17:26 32
14 CA Mitre 30 6 14 10 27:37 32
15 Central Norte 30 6 13 11 19:28 31
16 San Miguel 30 6 13 11 24:34 31
17 San Telmo 30 7 10 13 23:34 31
18 Acassuso 30 6 8 16 21:34 26
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 30 14 12 4 31:15 54
2 Temperley 30 14 11 5 36:24 53
3 Gimnasia Jujuy 30 15 8 7 45:36 53
4 Atletico Atlanta 30 15 4 11 34:28 49
5 Midland 30 13 8 9 34:25 47
6 San Martin S.J. 30 12 9 9 33:27 45
7 Gimnasia y Tiro 30 12 9 9 31:27 45
8 Atl. Rafaela 30 11 9 10 25:26 42
9 Deportivo Maipu 30 11 8 11 37:31 41
10 Colegiales 30 11 7 12 29:30 40
11 San Martin T. 30 9 12 9 32:30 39
12 Agropecuario 30 9 9 12 26:34 36
13 Quilmes 30 9 8 13 28:27 35
14 Almagro 30 9 8 13 26:36 35
15 Nueva Chicago 30 8 9 13 22:29 33
16 Patronato 30 5 16 9 24:31 31
17 Chacarita Juniors 30 8 6 16 22:31 30
18 Club Atletico Guemes 30 5 8 17 23:51 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)