Sport Picks
Patronato vs Gimnasia Jujuy
Argentina
Primera Nacional Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella, Paraná 
Match Events
17'
17'
Diaz D.
Assist: Salas J.
24'
24'
Dematei N.
33'
33'
Gallardo D.
Assist: Maidana F.
AI Match Summary
The Primera Nacional game between Patronato and Gimnasia Jujuy finished 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
35%
39%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gimnasia Jujuy
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Gimnasia Jujuy come out ahead of Patronato on wins alone.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Patronato Clean Sheet 17%
Gimnasia Jujuy Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Patronato | Gimnasia Jujuy |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 15 |
| Draws | 15 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.82 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.04 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs Gimnasia Jujuy
3:3
Apr 5, 2026 Primera Nacional
Gimnasia Jujuy vs Patronato
2:0
Aug 11, 2024 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs Gimnasia Jujuy
1:0
Mar 24, 2024 Primera Nacional
Gimnasia Jujuy vs Patronato
1:1
Jul 12, 2015 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs Gimnasia Jujuy
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Patronato Compare
Top Goalscorer Diaz D.
2 Goals Assists Leader Miro A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Gimnasia Jujuy Compare
Top Goalscorer Gallardo D.
2 Goals Assists Leader Cosaro G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Patronato 36 / 100
Gimnasia Jujuy 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Patronato Gimnasia Jujuy
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gimnasia Jujuy Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gimnasia Jujuy has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Recent resilience: Patronato stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Patronato scored in 50% of their last 28 games.
Scoring Trends
Patronato VS Gimnasia Jujuy
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Patronato
(Home) 21 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 1 Patronato
13 Sept
Patronato
0 : 0 Temperley
06 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
0 : 0 Patronato
30 Aug
Patronato
0 : 1 Almagro
26 Aug
Patronato
2 : 0 Atletico Atlanta
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Patronato
0 : 0 Temperley
30 Aug
Patronato
0 : 1 Almagro
26 Aug
Patronato
2 : 0 Atletico Atlanta
22 Aug
Patronato
3 : 3 Gimnasia Jujuy
01 Aug
Patronato
3 : 3 Quilmes
Page 1 of 3
Gimnasia Jujuy
(Away) 20 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
1 : 1 Gimnasia Jujuy
13 Sept
Gimnasia Jujuy
2 : 1 Atl. Rafaela
06 Sept
Almagro
1 : 2 Gimnasia Jujuy
01 Sept
Gimnasia Jujuy
1 : 1 Agropecuario
22 Aug
Patronato
3 : 3 Gimnasia Jujuy
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
1 : 1 Gimnasia Jujuy
06 Sept
Almagro
1 : 2 Gimnasia Jujuy
22 Aug
Patronato
3 : 3 Gimnasia Jujuy
05 Aug
Quilmes
2 : 0 Gimnasia Jujuy
01 Aug
Colegiales
2 : 1 Gimnasia Jujuy
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 35:25 | 58 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 48:29 | 55 |
| 3 | Godoy Cruz | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 38:26 | 52 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 31 | 13 | 11 | 7 | 44:28 | 50 |
| 5 | Colon Santa Fe | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 38:25 | 49 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 23:18 | 46 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 29:26 | 45 |
| 8 | Ciudad Bolivar | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 26:28 | 42 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 22:20 | 37 |
| 10 | Chaco For Ever | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 28:31 | 36 |
| 11 | Defensores de Belgrano | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 23:26 | 36 |
| 12 | Racing Cordoba | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 26:36 | 35 |
| 13 | All Boys | 31 | 6 | 15 | 10 | 17:26 | 33 |
| 14 | Central Norte | 31 | 6 | 14 | 11 | 19:28 | 32 |
| 15 | CA Mitre | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 27:37 | 32 |
| 16 | San Miguel | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 25:36 | 31 |
| 17 | San Telmo | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 23:34 | 31 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 22:34 | 29 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 30 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 31:15 | 54 |
| 2 | Temperley | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 36:24 | 53 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 45:36 | 53 |
| 4 | Atletico Atlanta | 30 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 34:28 | 49 |
| 5 | Midland | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 34:25 | 47 |
| 6 | San Martin S.J. | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 33:27 | 45 |
| 7 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 31:27 | 45 |
| 8 | Colegiales | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 31:31 | 43 |
| 9 | Atl. Rafaela | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 25:26 | 42 |
| 10 | Deportivo Maipu | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 37:31 | 41 |
| 11 | San Martin T. | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 32:30 | 39 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 30:27 | 38 |
| 13 | Agropecuario | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 26:34 | 36 |
| 14 | Almagro | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 26:36 | 35 |
| 15 | Nueva Chicago | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 22:29 | 33 |
| 16 | Patronato | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 24:31 | 31 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 23:33 | 30 |
| 18 | Club Atletico Guemes | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 23:53 | 23 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
