Sport Picks

Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella, Paraná

Patronato

1 - 2

Gimnasia y Tiro

Our Tip

Match Events

19'

Heredia F.

31'

Gordillo L.

Assist: Rinaldi N.

42'

Rojas F.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primera Nacional game between Patronato and Gimnasia y Tiro finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gimnasia y Tiro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Patronato

40%

Draws

29%

Gimnasia y Tiro

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Gimnasia y Tiro carry the better recent record into this one.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 50%

Over 2.5 Goals 12%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%

Patronato Clean Sheet 68%

Gimnasia y Tiro Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Patronato	Gimnasia y Tiro
Matches Played	27	27
Wins	5	9
Draws	13	9
Losses	9	9
Goals Scored	0.5	0.88
Goals Conceded	0.75	0.63
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Primera Nacional

Gimnasia y Tiro vs Patronato

1:1

Feb 21, 2026 Primera Nacional

Patronato vs Gimnasia y Tiro

1:2

Jul 12, 2025 Primera Nacional

Gimnasia y Tiro vs Patronato

2:1

Mar 9, 2025 Primera Nacional

Patronato vs Gimnasia y Tiro

0:0

Jan 24, 2023 Copa Argentina

Patronato vs Gimnasia y Tiro

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Patronato Compare

Top Goalscorer Soldano F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.38

Avg xA / game 0.25

Gimnasia y Tiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Gordillo L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Aguirre J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Patronato 42 / 100

Gimnasia y Tiro 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Patronato Gimnasia y Tiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimnasia y Tiro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Patronato remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Patronato scored in 48% of their last 27 games.

Scoring Trends

Patronato VS Gimnasia y Tiro

0.5 Goals Scored 0.88

0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63

50% Over 1.5 50%

0% Over 2.5 13%

0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Patronato

(Home)

12 Jul

Gimnasia y Tiro

1 : 1

Patronato

05 Jul

Patronato

0 : 1

San Martin T.

21 Jun

Patronato

1 : 1

Midland

14 Jun

Patronato

0 : 0

Atl. Rafaela

07 Jun

Agropecuario

1 : 1

Patronato

Page 1 of 6

Gimnasia y Tiro

(Away)

12 Jul

Gimnasia y Tiro

1 : 1

Patronato

04 Jul

Colegiales

1 : 2

Gimnasia y Tiro

21 Jun

Deportivo Maipu

0 : 0

Gimnasia y Tiro

13 Jun

Quilmes

1 : 0

Gimnasia y Tiro

06 Jun

Gimnasia y Tiro

1 : 0

Midland

Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ferro	22	13	4	5	25:18	43
2	Deportivo Moron	21	11	5	5	33:19	38
3	Colon Santa Fe	22	9	8	5	27:18	35
4	Ciudad Bolivar	22	8	10	4	21:17	34
5	Los Andes	21	8	9	4	19:8	33
6	Almirante Brown	22	8	8	6	15:13	32
7	Godoy Cruz	21	8	7	6	22:18	31
8	CA Estudiantes	22	8	7	7	19:18	31
9	Deportivo Madryn	21	7	9	5	27:22	30
10	Racing Cordoba	22	7	6	9	22:26	27
11	San Miguel	21	5	11	5	17:21	26
12	Defensores de Belgrano	21	5	9	7	14:18	24
13	All Boys	22	4	11	7	13:20	23
14	CA Mitre	22	4	10	8	20:27	22
15	San Telmo	21	4	8	9	17:23	20
16	Acassuso	21	5	5	11	15:23	20
17	Chaco For Ever	21	4	7	10	18:26	19
18	Central Norte	21	4	7	10	13:23	19

Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)

Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gimnasia Jujuy	21	12	5	4	34:23	41
2	Temperley	22	9	10	3	23:18	37
3	Atletico Atlanta	20	11	3	6	25:15	36
4	Tristan Suarez	21	9	9	3	18:11	36
5	Midland	21	9	6	6	22:15	33
6	San Martin T.	22	7	9	6	20:17	30
7	Atl. Rafaela	22	8	6	8	16:18	30
8	Deportivo Maipu	22	8	5	9	27:22	29
9	Gimnasia y Tiro	21	7	7	7	20:21	28
10	San Martin S.J.	20	7	5	8	21:21	26
11	Colegiales	21	7	5	9	19:20	26
12	Nueva Chicago	21	6	8	7	18:19	26
13	Almagro	20	7	4	9	16:22	25
14	Quilmes	21	6	6	9	18:17	24
15	Chacarita Juniors	21	6	5	10	16:22	23
16	Agropecuario	22	5	8	9	17:26	23
17	Patronato	21	4	10	7	13:18	22
18	Club Atletico Guemes	21	5	4	12	19:36	19

Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)

Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)