Sport Picks
Match Events
27'
27'
Rivero H.
Assist: Miro A.
35'
35'
Cepeda G.
45'
45'
Moreyra F.
AI Match Summary
The Primera Nacional game between Patronato and Midland finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
14%
35%
51%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Midland
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Patronato haven't matched Midland's recent run of results.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Midland taking it.
- Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Patronato Clean Sheet 21%
Midland Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Patronato | Midland |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 5 | 13 |
| Draws | 14 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.72 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 0.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 26, 2026 Primera Nacional
Midland vs Patronato
1:0
Jun 21, 2026 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs Midland
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Patronato Compare
Top Goalscorer Rivero H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Midland Compare
Top Goalscorer Campana A. I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Patronato 20 / 100
Midland 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Patronato Midland
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Midland Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Midland's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.
Games between these two average 1.50 goals.
Patronato has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Attacking prowess: Patronato scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Patronato VS Midland
1 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Patronato
(Home) 15 Aug
Colon Santa Fe
3 : 0 Patronato
09 Aug
Colegiales
2 : 2 Patronato
01 Aug
Patronato
3 : 3 Quilmes
26 Jul
Midland
1 : 0 Patronato
12 Jul
Gimnasia y Tiro
1 : 1 Patronato
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Patronato
3 : 3 Quilmes
05 Jul
Patronato
0 : 1 San Martin T.
21 Jun
Patronato
1 : 1 Midland
14 Jun
Patronato
0 : 0 Atl. Rafaela
31 May
Patronato
1 : 1 Tristan Suarez
Page 1 of 3
Midland
(Away) 14 Aug
Acassuso
1 : 1 Midland
07 Aug
Midland
2 : 0 Deportivo Maipu
01 Aug
Almagro
1 : 1 Midland
26 Jul
Midland
1 : 0 Patronato
12 Jul
Midland
1 : 0 Quilmes
Page 1 of 6
14 Aug
Acassuso
1 : 1 Midland
01 Aug
Almagro
1 : 1 Midland
21 Jun
Patronato
1 : 1 Midland
06 Jun
Gimnasia y Tiro
1 : 0 Midland
23 May
Atl. Rafaela
1 : 0 Midland
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 31:23 | 49 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 39:22 | 44 |
| 3 | Colon Santa Fe | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 32:19 | 42 |
| 4 | Almirante Brown | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 20:16 | 38 |
| 5 | Deportivo Madryn | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 32:24 | 37 |
| 6 | Godoy Cruz | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 28:22 | 37 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 22:20 | 35 |
| 8 | Ciudad Bolivar | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 21:22 | 34 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 20:14 | 33 |
| 10 | Racing Cordoba | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 23:28 | 31 |
| 11 | CA Mitre | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 25:29 | 29 |
| 12 | San Miguel | 24 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 19:23 | 29 |
| 13 | All Boys | 25 | 5 | 12 | 8 | 15:23 | 27 |
| 14 | Defensores de Belgrano | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 16:21 | 26 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 15:24 | 24 |
| 16 | San Telmo | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 18:27 | 23 |
| 17 | Chaco For Ever | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 21:29 | 22 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 18:29 | 22 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 26:13 | 45 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 36:29 | 44 |
| 3 | Temperley | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 27:21 | 40 |
| 4 | Atletico Atlanta | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 30:25 | 39 |
| 5 | Midland | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 26:17 | 38 |
| 6 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 26:22 | 38 |
| 7 | Deportivo Maipu | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 33:27 | 35 |
| 8 | Atl. Rafaela | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 18:19 | 35 |
| 9 | Quilmes | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 27:21 | 32 |
| 10 | San Martin T. | 25 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 24:22 | 32 |
| 11 | Colegiales | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 23:25 | 30 |
| 12 | Almagro | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 21:29 | 30 |
| 13 | San Martin S.J. | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 23:23 | 29 |
| 14 | Nueva Chicago | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 20:23 | 29 |
| 15 | Agropecuario | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 22:28 | 29 |
| 16 | Chacarita Juniors | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 18:26 | 26 |
| 17 | Patronato | 24 | 4 | 12 | 8 | 18:26 | 24 |
| 18 | Club Atletico Guemes | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 21:43 | 20 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
