Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Patronato vs Nueva Chicago

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella
Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Cortes B.
15'
Palazzo B.
18'
Petrecca N.

AI Match Summary

Patronato in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Patronato.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Patronato
20%
Draws
38%
Nueva Chicago
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Patronato

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nueva Chicago lately — more wins on the board than Patronato.
  • Patronato are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Patronato Clean Sheet 68%
Nueva Chicago Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Patronato Nueva Chicago
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 8
Draws 14 10
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 0.75 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs Nueva Chicago
2:1
Sep 11, 2023 Primera Nacional
Nueva Chicago vs Patronato
1:1
Apr 30, 2023 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs Nueva Chicago
0:0
May 12, 2013 Primera Nacional
Nueva Chicago vs Patronato
2:0
Nov 11, 2012 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs Nueva Chicago
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Patronato Compare

Top Goalscorer Rueda W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rivero H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Nueva Chicago Compare

Top Goalscorer Ambrogio L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Patronato 51 / 100
Nueva Chicago 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Patronato Nueva Chicago

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Patronato stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Patronato scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

Nueva Chicago let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Patronato VS Nueva Chicago
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferro20124423:1440
2Colon Santa Fe2098327:1535
3Deportivo Moron20105529:1935
4Los Andes2088419:832
5Ciudad Bolivar2079419:1630
6CA Estudiantes2086618:1630
7Almirante Brown2086615:1330
8Deportivo Madryn2078527:2229
9Godoy Cruz2077620:1728
10San Miguel20510517:2125
11Racing Cordoba2066820:2424
12Defensores de Belgrano2058714:1823
13All Boys2049713:2021
14San Telmo2048816:2120
15Acassuso20541115:2319
16Central Norte2047912:2119
17CA Mitre2039819:2718
18Chaco For Ever20371017:2616
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnasia Jujuy20115432:2238
2Atletico Atlanta19103624:1533
3Tristan Suarez2089317:1133
4Temperley20710319:1731
5Midland2086621:1530
6San Martin T.2078519:1529
7Deportivo Maipu2084827:2128
8Atl. Rafaela2076715:1627
9San Martin S.J.1975720:1926
10Nueva Chicago1967617:1725
11Gimnasia y Tiro2067719:2125
12Almagro2074916:2225
13Quilmes2066818:1624
14Colegiales1965818:1923
15Chacarita Juniors2065916:2123
16Patronato20410613:1722
17Agropecuario2047914:2419
18Club Atletico Guemes20541118:3419