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Patronato vs San Martin S.J. Prediction & H2H Stats

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella, Paraná
Patronato Logo

Patronato

3 - 0
FT
San Martin S.J. Logo

San Martin S.J.

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Reynaga R.
5'
Nadalin F.
9'
Salas J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Patronato in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Patronato.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Patronato
35%
Draws
35%
San Martin S.J.
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Patronato haven't matched San Martin S.J.'s recent run of results.
  • Model gives Patronato a 30% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Patronato Clean Sheet 68%
San Martin S.J. Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Patronato San Martin S.J.
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 11
Draws 15 8
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 0.9 1
Goals Conceded 1 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs San Martin S.J.
3:0
May 9, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Martin S.J. vs Patronato
1:1
Oct 20, 2024 Primera Nacional
Patronato vs San Martin S.J.
0:3
Jun 2, 2024 Primera Nacional
San Martin S.J. vs Patronato
1:0
Jun 24, 2023 Primera Nacional
San Martin S.J. vs Patronato
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Patronato Compare

Top Goalscorer Reynaga R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Attis T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

San Martin S.J. Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Patronato 59 / 100
San Martin S.J. 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Patronato San Martin S.J.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Patronato Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Martin S.J.'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Patronato remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Patronato scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Patronato VS San Martin S.J.
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Patronato

(Home)
27 Sept
Patronato
3 : 0
San Martin S.J.
21 Sept
Nueva Chicago
1 : 1
Patronato
13 Sept
Patronato
0 : 0
Temperley
06 Sept
Deportivo Maipu
0 : 0
Patronato
30 Aug
Patronato
0 : 1
Almagro
Page 1 of 6

San Martin S.J.

(Away)
27 Sept
Patronato
3 : 0
San Martin S.J.
20 Sept
San Martin S.J.
2 : 0
Colegiales
16 Sept
San Martin S.J.
0 : 0
Tristan Suarez
12 Sept
Quilmes
1 : 0
San Martin S.J.
06 Sept
San Martin S.J.
3 : 2
Midland
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 31 18 7 6 36:25 61
2 Deportivo Moron 31 16 7 8 49:31 55
3 Godoy Cruz 31 15 8 8 40:28 53
4 Deportivo Madryn 31 13 11 7 44:28 50
5 Colon Santa Fe 31 13 10 8 38:25 49
6 Almirante Brown 31 12 10 9 23:18 46
7 CA Estudiantes 31 12 9 10 29:26 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 31 10 12 9 26:28 42
9 Los Andes 31 9 13 9 24:21 40
10 Chaco For Ever 31 9 9 13 28:31 36
11 Defensores de Belgrano 31 8 12 11 23:27 36
12 Racing Cordoba 31 9 9 13 28:38 36
13 San Telmo 31 8 10 13 25:34 34
14 All Boys 31 6 15 10 17:26 33
15 Central Norte 31 6 14 11 19:28 32
16 CA Mitre 31 6 14 11 27:39 32
17 San Miguel 31 6 13 12 25:36 31
18 Acassuso 31 7 8 16 22:34 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 31 15 12 4 32:15 57
2 Gimnasia Jujuy 31 15 9 7 47:38 54
3 Temperley 31 14 11 6 36:25 53
4 Atletico Atlanta 31 16 4 11 35:28 52
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 31 13 9 9 32:27 48
6 Midland 31 13 8 10 34:26 47
7 San Martin S.J. 31 12 9 10 33:30 45
8 Deportivo Maipu 31 12 8 11 38:31 44
9 Colegiales 31 12 7 12 31:31 43
10 Atl. Rafaela 31 11 9 11 25:27 42
11 San Martin T. 31 9 13 9 34:32 40
12 Quilmes 31 10 8 13 30:27 38
13 Nueva Chicago 31 9 9 13 23:29 36
14 Agropecuario 31 9 9 13 26:35 36
15 Almagro 31 9 8 14 26:37 35
16 Patronato 31 6 16 9 27:31 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 31 8 6 17 23:33 30
18 Club Atletico Guemes 31 5 8 18 23:53 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)