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Pattani vs Chainat Hornbill

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 2025/2026 Rainbow Stadium, Pattani
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Marlon Silva
45' Event
Khampliw I.
60' Event
Jota

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Pattani advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Pattani
20%
Draws
23%
Chainat Hornbill
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pattani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pattani come out ahead of Chainat Hornbill on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Pattani's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Pattani have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Pattani, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Pattani have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Pattani Clean Sheet 17%
Chainat Hornbill Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pattani Chainat Hornbill
Matches Played 36 31
Wins 21 9
Draws 7 8
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.61 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Thai League 2
Pattani vs Chainat Hornbill
2:1
May 2, 2026 Thai League 2
Chainat Hornbill vs Pattani
1:3
Mar 22, 2026 Thai League 2
Pattani vs Chainat Hornbill
3:2
Dec 3, 2025 Thai League 2
Chainat Hornbill vs Pattani
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pattani Compare

Top Goalscorer Marlon Silva
1 Goals
Assists Leader Khampliw I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Chainat Hornbill Compare

Top Goalscorer Jota
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pattani 84 / 100
Chainat Hornbill 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pattani Chainat Hornbill

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pattani Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chainat Hornbill has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Pattani found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (36 games).

Pattani has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pattani VS Chainat Hornbill
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pattani

(Home)
23 May
Pattani
3 : 1
Nong Bua Pitchaya
16 May
Nong Bua Pitchaya
2 : 1
Pattani
09 May
Pattani
2 : 1
Chainat Hornbill
02 May
Chainat Hornbill
1 : 3
Pattani
25 Apr
Nakhon Si United
0 : 0
Pattani
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Chainat Hornbill

(Away)
09 May
Pattani
2 : 1
Chainat Hornbill
02 May
Chainat Hornbill
1 : 3
Pattani
25 Apr
Chainat Hornbill
1 : 2
Pattaya United
19 Apr
Trat FC
3 : 3
Chainat Hornbill
05 Apr
Chainat Hornbill
2 : 1
Police Tero
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Pattani 5
Chainat Hornbill 2
Nong Bua Pitchaya 4
Police Tero 3
Final
Pattani 4
Nong Bua Pitchaya 3