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Pattensen vs Ahlerstedt/Ottendorf Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niedersachsen 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

87' Event
Wauker J.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Niedersachsen 2022/2023 game between Pattensen and Ahlerstedt/Ottendorf finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pattensen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Pattensen
15%
Draws
0%
Ahlerstedt/Ottendorf
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pattensen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Pattensen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Pattensen's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga Niedersachsen 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Pattensen Clean Sheet 10%
Ahlerstedt/Ottendorf Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pattensen Ahlerstedt/Ottendorf
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 1 4
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1.63 1.48
Goals Conceded 2.27 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2023 Oberliga Niedersachsen
Pattensen vs Ahlerstedt/Ottendorf
1:0
Aug 21, 2022 Oberliga Niedersachsen
Ahlerstedt/Ottendorf vs Pattensen
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pattensen Compare

Top Goalscorer Wauker J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Ahlerstedt/Ottendorf Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pattensen 83 / 100
Ahlerstedt/Ottendorf 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pattensen Ahlerstedt/Ottendorf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pattensen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pattensen's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Ahlerstedt/Ottendorf lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Ahlerstedt/Ottendorf's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Pattensen VS Ahlerstedt/Ottendorf
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Pattensen

(Home)
27 Jun
Pattensen
0 : 3
Hannover
21 May
Pattensen
2 : 4
Hannoverscher SC
14 May
Pattensen
3 : 2
Luneburger Hansa
07 May
VfL Oldenburg
4 : 1
Pattensen
29 Apr
Pattensen
1 : 2
Arminia Hannover
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Ahlerstedt/Ottendorf

(Away)
13 Jan
Eintracht Norderstedt
5 : 0
Ahlerstedt/Ottendorf
21 May
Heeslinger SC
5 : 1
Ahlerstedt/Ottendorf
14 May
Gifhorn
5 : 1
Ahlerstedt/Ottendorf
07 May
Ahlerstedt/Ottendorf
3 : 4
FT Braunschweig
30 Apr
Egestorf-Langreder
5 : 0
Ahlerstedt/Ottendorf
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spelle-Venhaus 34 24 5 5 80:36 77
2 Lupo-Martini Wolfsburg 34 22 8 4 69:28 74
3 Egestorf-Langreder 34 20 5 9 73:40 65
4 TuS Bersenbruck 34 18 6 10 85:55 60
5 Schoningen 34 16 9 9 72:54 57
6 Heeslinger SC 34 17 6 11 59:45 57
7 VfL Oldenburg 34 17 5 12 73:53 56
8 Eintracht Celle 34 14 7 13 78:75 49
9 Rotenburger 34 11 12 11 48:41 45
10 Ramlingen-Ehlershausen 34 11 11 12 59:61 44
11 Arminia Hannover 34 12 7 15 58:65 43
12 Hannoverscher SC 34 11 8 15 50:72 41
13 Pattensen 34 12 2 20 54:76 38
14 Gifhorn 34 9 8 17 52:71 35
15 Ahlerstedt/Ottendorf 34 10 5 19 51:75 35
16 Luneburger Hansa 34 9 5 20 37:60 32
17 FT Braunschweig 34 7 5 22 41:84 26
18 Papenburg 34 6 6 22 46:94 24
Promotion - Regionalliga North 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga North 2022/2023 (Relegation)