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Pau vs Annecy - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 2 Nouste Camp, Pau
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Drouhin A.
Assist: Billemaz C.
16'
Billemaz C.
37'
Paquiez G.

AI Match Summary

Annecy in this Ligue 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Annecy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Pau
15%
Draws
40%
Annecy
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Annecy lately — more wins on the board than Pau.
  • Model gives Pau a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Pau Clean Sheet 68%
Annecy Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pau Annecy
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 9 13
Draws 4 6
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.23 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Ligue 2
Pau vs Annecy
0:1
Apr 24, 2026 Ligue 2
Annecy vs Pau
5:1
Aug 9, 2025 Ligue 2
Pau vs Annecy
2:0
Mar 28, 2025 Ligue 2
Pau vs Annecy
1:0
Nov 1, 2024 Ligue 2
Annecy vs Pau
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pau Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Annecy Compare

Top Goalscorer Drouhin A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pau 50 / 100
Annecy 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pau Annecy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pau scored in 69% of their last 26 outings.

Annecy's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Pau remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pau VS Annecy
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pau

(Home)
09 Oct
Pau
3 : 2
Laval
03 Oct
Toulouse
2 : 3
Pau
18 Sept
Pau
2 : 0
Dunkerque
11 Sept
Montpellier
1 : 0
Pau
04 Sept
Pau
1 : 1
Sochaux
Page 1 of 6

Annecy

(Away)
09 Oct
Dunkerque
0 : 1
Annecy
02 Oct
Annecy
2 : 1
Servette
18 Sept
Annecy
1 : 2
Dijon
12 Sept
Guingamp
2 : 1
Annecy
04 Sept
Grenoble
1 : 2
Annecy
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 8 6 1 1 21:8 19
2 Red Star 8 5 2 1 12:9 17
3 Montpellier 8 4 3 1 8:5 15
4 Reims 8 3 5 0 15:9 14
5 Nancy 8 4 1 3 9:7 13
6 Annecy 8 4 1 3 10:9 13
7 Pau 8 3 2 3 9:8 11
8 Sochaux 8 2 5 1 5:6 11
9 Metz 7 2 4 1 10:7 10
10 Dijon 7 2 3 2 10:10 9
11 Guingamp 8 2 2 4 10:13 8
12 Dunkerque 8 2 2 4 10:13 8
13 Nantes 8 2 2 4 9:13 8
14 Grenoble 8 2 2 4 8:13 8
15 Rodez 8 2 1 5 14:18 7
16 Boulogne 8 0 6 2 4:6 6
17 Clermont 8 0 6 2 6:9 6
18 Laval 8 1 2 5 10:17 5
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)