Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pau vs Dunkerque

France France

Ligue 2 Nouste Camp, Pau
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pau in this Ligue 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Pau
35%
Draws
32%
Dunkerque
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Pau have won more games recently than Dunkerque.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Dunkerque have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Pau Clean Sheet 13%
Dunkerque Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pau Dunkerque
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 8 7
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.15 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.81 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2026 Ligue 2
Dunkerque vs Pau
3:1
Oct 24, 2025 Ligue 2
Pau vs Dunkerque
0:3
Jan 10, 2025 Ligue 2
Pau vs Dunkerque
1:1
Sep 20, 2024 Ligue 2
Dunkerque vs Pau
3:2
Mar 9, 2024 Ligue 2
Dunkerque vs Pau
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pau 30 / 100
Dunkerque 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pau Dunkerque

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dunkerque has conceded goals in 89% of their last 27 outings.

Pau scored in 69% of their last 26 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Pau stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pau VS Dunkerque
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pau

(Home)
11 Sept
Montpellier
1 : 0
Pau
04 Sept
Pau
1 : 1
Sochaux
28 Aug
Rodez
2 : 2
Pau
21 Aug
Pau
0 : 1
Nancy
14 Aug
Dijon
0 : 1
Pau
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Dunkerque

(Away)
12 Sept
Dunkerque
2 : 1
St Etienne
04 Sept
Dunkerque
1 : 1
Clermont
28 Aug
Nancy
2 : 0
Dunkerque
21 Aug
Dunkerque
0 : 1
Montpellier
14 Aug
Reims
3 : 3
Dunkerque
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 6 5 0 1 17:6 15
2 Reims 6 3 3 0 14:8 12
3 Montpellier 6 3 2 1 5:4 11
4 Red Star 6 3 2 1 6:6 11
5 Annecy 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
6 Metz 6 2 3 1 8:5 9
7 Sochaux 6 2 3 1 3:4 9
8 Dunkerque 6 2 2 2 10:10 8
9 Guingamp 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
10 Nancy 6 2 1 3 4:4 7
11 Rodez 6 2 1 3 11:12 7
12 Grenoble 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
13 Dijon 6 1 3 2 8:9 6
14 Boulogne 6 0 5 1 2:3 5
15 Pau 6 1 2 3 4:6 5
16 Clermont 6 0 5 1 3:5 5
17 Nantes 6 1 1 4 7:12 4
18 Laval 6 1 1 4 7:13 4
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)