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Pau vs Dunkerque - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 2 Nouste Camp, Pau
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Mayela V.
16'
Briancon A.
17'
Sub
Robail G. In: Lagae B.
Out: Robail G.

AI Match Summary

Pau in this Ligue 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Pau
15%
Draws
18%
Dunkerque
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Pau have won more games recently than Dunkerque.
  • Model gives Pau a 67% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Pau Clean Sheet 20%
Dunkerque Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pau Dunkerque
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 12 7
Draws 4 5
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.3 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Ligue 2
Pau vs Dunkerque
2:0
Jan 16, 2026 Ligue 2
Dunkerque vs Pau
3:1
Oct 24, 2025 Ligue 2
Pau vs Dunkerque
0:3
Jan 10, 2025 Ligue 2
Pau vs Dunkerque
1:1
Sep 20, 2024 Ligue 2
Dunkerque vs Pau
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pau Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbaye A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Dunkerque Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pau 85 / 100
Dunkerque 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pau Dunkerque

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dunkerque's defensive record shows goals conceded in 92% of 26 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Pau went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Pau scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

Scoring Trends

Pau VS Dunkerque
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pau

(Home)
30 Oct
Metz
1 : 3
Pau
23 Oct
Pau
2 : 1
Grenoble
16 Oct
Guingamp
1 : 2
Pau
09 Oct
Pau
3 : 2
Laval
03 Oct
Toulouse
2 : 3
Pau
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Dunkerque

(Away)
30 Oct
Rodez
1 : 0
Dunkerque
23 Oct
Dunkerque
1 : 1
Metz
17 Oct
Nantes
2 : 3
Dunkerque
09 Oct
Dunkerque
0 : 1
Annecy
02 Oct
Dunkerque
0 : 4
RAAL La Louviere
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 11 8 1 2 23:11 25
2 Montpellier 11 7 3 1 16:6 24
3 Nancy 11 7 1 3 16:9 22
4 Reims 11 5 6 0 22:12 21
5 Pau 11 6 2 3 16:11 20
6 Red Star 11 5 2 4 14:16 17
7 Annecy 11 5 1 5 14:15 16
8 Dijon 11 4 3 4 20:19 15
9 Guingamp 11 4 2 5 16:15 14
10 Metz 11 3 5 3 17:17 14
11 Rodez 11 4 1 6 17:22 13
12 Dunkerque 11 3 3 5 14:17 12
13 Sochaux 11 2 5 4 8:14 11
14 Boulogne 11 1 7 3 7:8 10
15 Nantes 11 2 3 6 12:18 9
16 Laval 11 2 3 6 14:21 9
17 Clermont 11 0 8 3 10:15 8
18 Grenoble 11 2 2 7 10:20 8
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)