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Pau vs Nancy - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 2 Nouste Camp, Pau
0 - 1
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Paquiez G.
19'
Dodote A.
43'
Fernandez N.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 game between Pau and Nancy finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nancy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Pau
15%
Draws
38%
Nancy
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Nancy haven't matched Pau's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Pau Clean Sheet 68%
Nancy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pau Nancy
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 4 9
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.3 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Ligue 2
Pau vs Nancy
0:1
May 2, 2026 Ligue 2
Pau vs Nancy
1:3
Aug 29, 2025 Ligue 2
Nancy vs Pau
2:2
May 14, 2022 Ligue 2
Nancy vs Pau
2:3
Jul 24, 2021 Ligue 2
Pau vs Nancy
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pau Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Nancy Compare

Top Goalscorer Bokangu B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pau 41 / 100
Nancy 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pau Nancy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Pau remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Pau found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).

Nancy has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pau VS Nancy
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pau

(Home)
30 Oct
Metz
1 : 3
Pau
23 Oct
Pau
2 : 1
Grenoble
16 Oct
Guingamp
1 : 2
Pau
09 Oct
Pau
3 : 2
Laval
03 Oct
Toulouse
2 : 3
Pau
Page 1 of 6

Nancy

(Away)
02 Nov
Red Star
1 : 4
Nancy
23 Oct
Nancy
1 : 0
Laval
16 Oct
Annecy
1 : 2
Nancy
09 Oct
Nancy
1 : 0
Guingamp
02 Oct
Saarbrucken
2 : 1
Nancy
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 11 8 1 2 23:11 25
2 Montpellier 11 7 3 1 16:6 24
3 Nancy 11 7 1 3 16:9 22
4 Reims 11 5 6 0 22:12 21
5 Pau 11 6 2 3 16:11 20
6 Red Star 11 5 2 4 14:16 17
7 Annecy 11 5 1 5 14:15 16
8 Dijon 11 4 3 4 20:19 15
9 Guingamp 11 4 2 5 16:15 14
10 Metz 11 3 5 3 17:17 14
11 Rodez 11 4 1 6 17:22 13
12 Dunkerque 11 3 3 5 14:17 12
13 Sochaux 11 2 5 4 8:14 11
14 Boulogne 11 1 7 3 7:8 10
15 Nantes 11 2 3 6 12:18 9
16 Laval 11 2 3 6 14:21 9
17 Clermont 11 0 8 3 10:15 8
18 Grenoble 11 2 2 7 10:20 8
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)