Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pau vs Nancy

France France

Ligue 2 Nouste Camp, Pau
0 - 1
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Paquiez G.
19'
Dodote A.
43'
Fernandez N.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 game between Pau and Nancy finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nancy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Pau
30%
Draws
47%
Nancy
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nancy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Nancy haven't matched Pau's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Pau Clean Sheet 17%
Nancy Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pau Nancy
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 8 7
Draws 5 12
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.27 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.96 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Ligue 2
Pau vs Nancy
0:1
May 2, 2026 Ligue 2
Pau vs Nancy
1:3
Aug 29, 2025 Ligue 2
Nancy vs Pau
2:2
May 14, 2022 Ligue 2
Nancy vs Pau
2:3
Jul 24, 2021 Ligue 2
Pau vs Nancy
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pau Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Nancy Compare

Top Goalscorer Bokangu B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pau 31 / 100
Nancy 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pau Nancy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nancy Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Pau found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (26 games).

Defensive concern: Nancy conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Pau has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pau VS Nancy
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pau

(Home)
28 Aug
Rodez
2 : 2
Pau
21 Aug
Pau
0 : 1
Nancy
14 Aug
Dijon
0 : 1
Pau
08 Aug
Pau
0 : 1
Annecy
01 Aug
Pau
1 : 2
Real Union
Page 1 of 6

Nancy

(Away)
28 Aug
Nancy
2 : 0
Dunkerque
21 Aug
Pau
0 : 1
Nancy
14 Aug
Nancy
0 : 1
Montpellier
08 Aug
Boulogne
0 : 0
Nancy
01 Aug
Nancy
2 : 2
Dijon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 4 4 0 0 13:3 12
2 Reims 4 2 2 0 10:5 8
3 Montpellier 4 2 2 0 3:1 8
4 Rodez 4 2 1 1 10:7 7
5 Nancy 4 2 1 1 3:1 7
6 Annecy 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
7 Metz 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
8 Red Star 4 1 2 1 3:5 5
9 Sochaux 4 1 2 1 1:3 5
10 Dunkerque 4 1 1 2 7:8 4
11 Guingamp 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
12 Pau 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
13 Grenoble 4 1 1 2 5:8 4
14 Laval 4 1 1 2 4:8 4
15 Boulogne 4 0 3 1 1:2 3
16 Clermont 4 0 3 1 2:4 3
17 Dijon 4 0 2 2 4:6 2
18 Nantes 4 0 1 3 6:11 1
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)