Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pau vs Nancy

France France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Nouste Camp, Pau
1 - 3
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Bobichon A.
29'
Fernandez N.
46'
Sub
Julloux A. In: Guendez M.
Out: Julloux A.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Pau and Nancy finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nancy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Pau
20%
Draws
51%
Nancy
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nancy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Pau have managed 1.19 goals a game lately — Nancy are scoring more at 1.67.
  • Pau are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Pau Clean Sheet 14%
Nancy Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pau Nancy
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 5 12
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.19 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Ligue 2
Pau vs Nancy
0:1
May 2, 2026 Ligue 2
Pau vs Nancy
1:3
Aug 29, 2025 Ligue 2
Nancy vs Pau
2:2
May 14, 2022 Ligue 2
Nancy vs Pau
2:3
Jul 24, 2021 Ligue 2
Pau vs Nancy
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pau Compare

Top Goalscorer Bobichon A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Nancy Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendy E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandez N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pau 41 / 100
Nancy 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pau Nancy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Pau scored in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Nancy let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Pau remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pau VS Nancy
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pau

(Home)
18 Sept
Pau
2 : 0
Dunkerque
11 Sept
Montpellier
1 : 0
Pau
04 Sept
Pau
1 : 1
Sochaux
28 Aug
Rodez
2 : 2
Pau
21 Aug
Pau
0 : 1
Nancy
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Nancy

(Away)
18 Sept
Rodez
3 : 4
Nancy
11 Sept
Nancy
1 : 2
Reims
07 Sept
Nantes
1 : 0
Nancy
28 Aug
Nancy
2 : 0
Dunkerque
21 Aug
Pau
0 : 1
Nancy
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Troyes 34 20 7 7 60:33 67
2 Le Mans 34 16 14 4 50:31 62
3 St Etienne 34 18 6 10 59:38 60
4 Red Star 34 16 10 8 45:37 58
5 Rodez 34 15 13 6 45:39 58
6 Reims 34 14 14 6 53:35 56
7 Annecy 34 15 7 12 49:39 52
8 Montpellier 34 14 9 11 41:31 51
9 Pau 34 12 9 13 48:62 45
10 Dunkerque 34 11 10 13 53:45 43
11 Guingamp 34 10 10 14 42:49 40
12 Grenoble 34 8 15 11 33:39 39
13 Clermont 34 9 10 15 38:44 37
14 Nancy 34 9 10 15 35:52 37
15 Boulogne 34 9 9 16 34:49 36
16 Laval 34 6 14 14 30:48 32
17 Bastia 34 5 13 16 23:39 28
18 Amiens SC 34 6 6 22 37:65 24
19 AC Ajaccio 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)