Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pau vs Nancy

France France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Nouste Camp, Pau
1 - 3
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Bobichon A.
29'
Fernandez N.
46'
Sub
Julloux A. In: Guendez M.
Out: Julloux A.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Pau and Nancy finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nancy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Pau
22%
Draws
60%
Nancy
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Nancy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Pau have managed 1.13 goals a game lately — Nancy are scoring more at 3.
  • Nancy are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Pau Clean Sheet 10%
Nancy Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pau Nancy
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 9 9
Draws 4 9
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.13 3
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Ligue 2
Pau vs Nancy
1:3
Aug 29, 2025 Ligue 2
Nancy vs Pau
2:2
May 14, 2022 Ligue 2
Nancy vs Pau
2:3
Jul 24, 2021 Ligue 2
Pau vs Nancy
2:1
Feb 5, 2021 Ligue 2
Nancy vs Pau
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pau Compare

Top Goalscorer Bobichon A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Nancy Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendy E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandez N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pau 18 / 100
Nancy 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pau Nancy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Pau scored in 77% of their last 26 outings.

Nancy let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Solid form: Pau remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pau VS Nancy
1.13 Goals Scored 3
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Pau

(Home)
25 Jul
Real Sociedad B
4 : 0
Pau
21 Jul
Espanyol
4 : 0
Pau
17 Jul
Pau
3 : 0
Tarbes
11 Jul
Real Sociedad
0 : 1
Pau
09 May
Reims
5 : 3
Pau
Page 1 of 6

Nancy

(Away)
28 Jul
Nancy
1 : 1
Annecy
24 Jul
Nancy
5 : 0
Haguenau
18 Jul
Thionville
2 : 2
Nancy
11 Jul
Nancy
1 : 3
Troyes
04 Jul
Nancy
8 : 0
FC Mamer
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Troyes34207760:3367
2Le Mans341614450:3162
3St Etienne341861059:3860
4Red Star341610845:3758
5Rodez341513645:3958
6Reims341414653:3556
7Annecy341571249:3952
8Montpellier341491141:3151
9Pau341291348:6245
10Dunkerque3411101353:4543
11Guingamp3410101442:4940
12Grenoble348151133:3939
13Clermont349101538:4437
14Nancy349101535:5237
15Boulogne34991634:4936
16Laval346141430:4832
17Bastia345131623:3928
18Amiens SC34662237:6524
19AC Ajaccio00000:00
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)