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Pau vs Pontivy

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CFA - Group D 2014/2015
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AI Match Summary

The CFA - Group D 2014/2015 game between Pau and Pontivy finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Pau
15%
Draws
57%
Pontivy
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pontivy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Pontivy carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Pontivy taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Pau Clean Sheet 16%
Pontivy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pau Pontivy
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.18 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2015 National 2 - Group D
Pau vs Pontivy
0:0
Dec 20, 2014 National 2 - Group D
Pontivy vs Pau
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pau 10 / 100
Pontivy 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pau Pontivy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pau found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Pontivy has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Pontivy's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Pau VS Pontivy
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 5
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Pau

(Home)
08 Aug
Pau
0 : 1
Annecy
01 Aug
Pau
1 : 2
Real Union
25 Jul
Real Sociedad B
4 : 0
Pau
21 Jul
Espanyol
4 : 0
Pau
17 Jul
Pau
3 : 0
Tarbes
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Pontivy

(Away)
31 Jul
Concarneau
5 : 1
Pontivy
20 Dec
Pontivy
0 : 1
Bastia
29 Nov
Espoir
0 : 4
Pontivy
15 Nov
Challans
0 : 2
Pontivy
09 Dec
Pontivy
0 : 1
Rouen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lorient II 30 15 11 4 44:29 86
2 Les Herbiers 30 17 5 8 50:26 86
3 Stade Bordelais 30 15 7 8 39:32 82
4 Concarneau 30 13 10 7 46:32 79
5 Trelissac 30 14 7 9 46:34 79
6 Pau 30 11 12 7 49:36 75
7 Vitre 30 13 6 11 45:48 75
8 Nantes II 30 11 9 10 42:42 72
9 Stade Montois 30 10 7 13 34:40 67
10 Bordeaux II 30 10 7 13 47:48 67
11 Plabennec 30 9 8 13 29:41 65
12 Tarbes 30 8 10 12 32:40 64
13 Saint-Malo 30 8 10 12 39:46 64
14 Fontenay 30 7 12 11 33:40 63
15 Pontivy 30 5 10 15 23:40 55
16 Limoges 30 4 9 17 33:57 50
Promotion - National 2015/2016 (Main)