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Pau vs Real Union - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Pola J.
74' Event
89' Event
Andriu Hernandez S.

AI Match Summary

Real Union in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Union.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Pau
35%
Draws
16%
Real Union
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Real Union lately — more wins on the board than Pau.
  • Win probability leans Pau's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Pau Clean Sheet 16%
Real Union Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pau Real Union
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 10 14
Draws 4 8
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.26 2
Goals Conceded 1.85 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Pau vs Real Union
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pau Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Real Union Compare

Top Goalscorer Pola J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Andriu Hernandez S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pau 75 / 100
Real Union 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pau Real Union

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pau scored in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Real Union has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Pau went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pau VS Real Union
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Pau

(Home)
16 Oct
Guingamp
1 : 2
Pau
09 Oct
Pau
3 : 2
Laval
03 Oct
Toulouse
2 : 3
Pau
18 Sept
Pau
2 : 0
Dunkerque
11 Sept
Montpellier
1 : 0
Pau
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Real Union

(Away)
17 Oct
CD Extremadura
2 : 2
Real Union
11 Oct
Ath Bilbao B
0 : 0
Real Union
03 Oct
Real Union
1 : 1
UD Ourense
26 Sept
Deportivo Fabril
2 : 0
Real Union
19 Sept
Real Union
2 : 2
Mirandes
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