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Pau vs Sochaux - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 2 Nouste Camp, Pau
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Baghdadi S.
29' Event
Rajot L.
30'
Debes T.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Pau
15%
Draws
18%
Sochaux
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Pau have won more games recently than Sochaux.
  • 67% — that's where the model lands on Pau taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Pau Clean Sheet 68%
Sochaux Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pau Sochaux
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 4 10
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.3 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Ligue 2
Pau vs Sochaux
1:1
Apr 15, 2023 Ligue 2
Sochaux vs Pau
2:3
Aug 20, 2022 Ligue 2
Pau vs Sochaux
0:3
Apr 22, 2022 Ligue 2
Pau vs Sochaux
0:1
Dec 3, 2021 Ligue 2
Sochaux vs Pau
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pau Compare

Top Goalscorer Rajot L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sochaux Compare

Top Goalscorer Clairicia M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pau 95 / 100
Sochaux 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pau Sochaux

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pau has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Pau's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Sochaux's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Pau VS Sochaux
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pau

(Home)
30 Oct
Metz
1 : 3
Pau
23 Oct
Pau
2 : 1
Grenoble
16 Oct
Guingamp
1 : 2
Pau
09 Oct
Pau
3 : 2
Laval
03 Oct
Toulouse
2 : 3
Pau
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Sochaux

(Away)
02 Nov
Reims
2 : 0
Sochaux
23 Oct
Sochaux
1 : 3
Annecy
17 Oct
Metz
3 : 2
Sochaux
09 Oct
Sochaux
1 : 1
Boulogne
02 Oct
Sochaux
2 : 1
Xamax
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 11 8 1 2 23:11 25
2 Montpellier 11 7 3 1 16:6 24
3 Nancy 11 7 1 3 16:9 22
4 Reims 11 5 6 0 22:12 21
5 Pau 11 6 2 3 16:11 20
6 Red Star 11 5 2 4 14:16 17
7 Annecy 11 5 1 5 14:15 16
8 Dijon 11 4 3 4 20:19 15
9 Guingamp 11 4 2 5 16:15 14
10 Metz 11 3 5 3 17:17 14
11 Rodez 11 4 1 6 17:22 13
12 Dunkerque 11 3 3 5 14:17 12
13 Sochaux 11 2 5 4 8:14 11
14 Boulogne 11 1 7 3 7:8 10
15 Nantes 11 2 3 6 12:18 9
16 Laval 11 2 3 6 14:21 9
17 Clermont 11 0 8 3 10:15 8
18 Grenoble 11 2 2 7 10:20 8
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)