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Paulense vs Mindelense

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mindelense in this Campeonato Nacional 2017 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mindelense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Paulense
30%
Draws
39%
Mindelense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mindelense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Mindelense have won more games recently than Paulense.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Paulense Clean Sheet 13%
Mindelense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paulense Mindelense
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 9 19
Draws 11 10
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.07 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 Campeonato Nacional
Paulense vs Mindelense
0:0
Jun 3, 2017 Campeonato Nacional
Mindelense vs Paulense
0:0
May 13, 2017 Campeonato Nacional
Paulense vs Mindelense
0:1
Jun 27, 2015 Campeonato Nacional
Mindelense vs Paulense
2:0
Jun 20, 2015 Campeonato Nacional
Paulense vs Mindelense
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paulense 31 / 100
Mindelense 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paulense Mindelense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paulense's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Paulense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Mindelense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 36 matches.

Historical meetings average 0.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Paulense VS Mindelense
1.57 Goals Scored 2
1.29 Goals Conceded 1.13
71% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 50%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Paulense

(Home)
14 Jun
Boavista da Praia
2 : 1
Paulense
07 Jun
Paulense
2 : 2
Boavista da Praia
24 May
Botafogo
0 : 1
Paulense
18 May
Paulense
2 : 2
Sport Sal-Rei
10 May
Scorpion Vermelho
1 : 5
Paulense
Page 1 of 6

Mindelense

(Away)
04 Jul
Palmeira
3 : 2
Mindelense
27 Jun
Mindelense
2 : 1
Academica Porto Novo
20 Jun
Academica Porto Novo
2 : 2
Mindelense
14 Jun
SC Atletico
1 : 3
Mindelense
06 Jun
Mindelense
2 : 1
Cutelinho
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ultramarina 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
2 Onze Unidos 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
3 AJAC da Calheta 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
4 Vulcanico 6 1 1 4 7:11 4
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mindelense 6 4 1 1 8:3 13
2 Academica Porto Novo 6 3 2 1 12:7 11
3 Academico do Sal 6 1 2 3 6:10 5
4 Paulense 6 0 3 3 4:10 3
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Praia 6 4 2 0 8:1 14
2 Academica do Mindelo 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
3 Sporting da Brava 6 3 1 2 6:5 10
4 Sport Sal-Rei 6 0 0 6 1:11 0
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams