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Paulinense vs Sao Carlos Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paulista B
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Marcelo Mineiro
77' Event
Pereira E.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Paulinense
20%
Draws
29%
Sao Carlos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Paulinense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sao Carlos come out ahead of Paulinense on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Sao Carlos arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Paulinense, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Paulinense Clean Sheet 12%
Sao Carlos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paulinense Sao Carlos
Matches Played 14 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 0 7
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 0.93 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Paulista B
Paulinense vs Sao Carlos
2:0
Jun 27, 2026 Paulista B
Sao Carlos vs Paulinense
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paulinense Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcelo Mineiro
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pereira E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Sao Carlos Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paulinense 30 / 100
Sao Carlos 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paulinense Sao Carlos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Carlos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paulinense found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (14 games).

Sao Carlos has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Paulinense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Paulinense VS Sao Carlos
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Paulinense

(Home)
19 Jul
Independente SP
2 : 1
Paulinense
12 Jul
Paulinense
0 : 1
Independente SP
05 Jul
Paulinense
2 : 0
Sao Carlos
27 Jun
Sao Carlos
0 : 1
Paulinense
20 Jun
Guarulhos
1 : 2
Paulinense
Page 1 of 3

Sao Carlos

(Away)
05 Jul
Paulinense
2 : 0
Sao Carlos
27 Jun
Sao Carlos
0 : 1
Paulinense
20 Jun
Santacruzense
1 : 1
Sao Carlos
13 Jun
Sao Carlos
2 : 0
Independente SP
07 Jun
Matonense
1 : 1
Sao Carlos
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Independente SP 4
Tupa 0
Paulinense 3
Sao Carlos 0
Flamengo SP 2
Audax-SP 1
Matonense 1
Assisense 0
Itaqua 6
Paulinia FU 1
Maua FC 3
Uniao Mogi 5
Jose Bonifacio EC 4
Manthiqueira 1
America SP 3
Santacruzense 0
Quarter-finals
Independente SP 3
Paulinense 1
Flamengo SP 4
Matonense 1
Itaqua 5
Uniao Mogi 1
Jose Bonifacio EC 2
America SP 4
Semi-finals
Independente SP 2
Flamengo SP 1
Itaqua 1
America SP 4
Final
Independente SP 4
America SP 3