Sport Picks

Brazil

Paulista A3 2020

Olimpia FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Paulista play Olimpia FC in the Paulista A3 2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, Paulista averaged 1.14 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. Olimpia FC averaged 0.67 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. In past meetings, Paulista won 0, Olimpia FC won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 19, 2020 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Paulista and 1.00 for Olimpia FC. This points to a Paulista double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%

Paulista

24%

Draws

24%

Olimpia FC

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Paulista

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence

Paulista picked up more points recently compared to Olimpia FC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 70%

Over 2.5 Goals 43%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%

Paulista Clean Sheet 23%

Olimpia FC Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 63%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Paulista	Olimpia FC
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	12	2
Draws	6	8
Losses	11	20
Goals Scored	1.14	0.67
Goals Conceded	0.97	1.87

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2020 Paulista A3

Paulista vs Olimpia FC

Possession: 50% - 44% Cards: 4 - 1

2:3

Apr 1, 2017 Paulista A3

Paulista vs Olimpia FC

Possession: 49% - 51% Cards: 1 - 0

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paulista 51 / 100

Olimpia FC 24 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Paulista Olimpia FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Paulista or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +18%

2.27

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.1%

2.70

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Paulista attacking → ← attacking Olimpia FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paulista scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Olimpia FC let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Paulista went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Olimpia FC lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 14

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Noroeste	15	11	2	2	25:9	35
2	EC Sao Bernardo	15	9	3	3	22:9	30
3	Comercial	15	8	4	3	25:16	28
4	Capivariano	15	7	4	4	21:15	25
5	Velo Clube	15	7	4	4	18:12	25
6	Linense	15	6	5	4	21:19	23
7	Batatais	15	5	7	3	13:14	22
8	Nacional SP	15	5	6	4	17:16	21
9	Desportivo	15	5	3	7	20:20	18
10	Marilia	15	4	6	5	16:15	18
11	Rio Preto EC	15	4	4	7	15:19	16
12	Olimpia FC	15	4	4	7	17:23	16
13	Primavera EC	15	4	3	8	13:20	15
14	Barretos EC	15	3	4	8	15:26	13
15	GE Osasco	15	3	3	9	12:23	12
16	Paulista	15	3	2	10	12:26	11