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Stadium Background

Paulista W vs Francana W

Brazil Brazil

Paulista Women 2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Paulista W play Francana W in the Paulista Women 2010. Francana W are favorites here. Recently, Paulista W averaged 0.5 goals scored and 4.47 conceded. Francana W averaged 1.1 goals scored and 2.7 conceded. In past meetings, Paulista W won 0, Francana W won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 29, 2011 ended 7:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.48 for Paulista W and 0.93 for Francana W. This points to a Francana W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Paulista W
15%
Draws
65%
Francana W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Francana W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Paulista W picked up more points recently compared to Francana W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.48 vs 0.93 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 77%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Paulista W Clean Sheet 24%
Francana W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paulista W Francana W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 7
Draws 2 4
Losses 25 19
Goals Scored 0.5 1.1
Goals Conceded 4.47 2.7

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 29, 2011 Paulista Women
Francana W vs Paulista W
7:0
May 4, 2011 Paulista Women
Paulista W vs Francana W
1:3
Aug 21, 2010 Paulista Women
Francana W vs Paulista W
4:0
Jun 6, 2010 Paulista Women
Paulista W vs Francana W
1:9

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paulista W 23 / 100
Francana W 61 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paulista W Francana W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Francana W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Francana W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +66.6%
8.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.6%
1.41
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Paulista W attacking → ← attacking Francana W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paulista W scored in 33% of their last 30 games.

Francana W let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 6.25 goals.

Paulista W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Francana W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

11 Points in last 5 25
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Rio Preto W16114183:937
2Ferroviaria W16113264:1036
3Francana W16102446:1332
4Botucatu W16102444:1232
5Sao Judas Tadeu W1694335:1831
6Marilia W1663750:3621
7Jaguariuna W1621137:967
8Sao Bento W16201414:796
9Paulista W1611149:794
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Santos W16160067:348
2Sao Jose W16140250:742
3Sao Caetano W16101540:2331
4Portuguesa W1691640:2028
5CA Juventus W1682619:2326
6Palmeiras W16421025:3514
7Nacional SP W16331012:4612
8Taboao da Serra W16301315:489
9Sao Bernardo W16011514:771