Sport Picks

Brazil

Matogrossense 2

Acao

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Paulistano FC play Acao in the Matogrossense 2. Acao are favorites here. Recently, Paulistano FC averaged 0.2 goals scored and 3 conceded. Acao averaged 1.34 goals scored and 1.84 conceded. In past meetings, Paulistano FC won 0, Acao won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 9, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.75 for Paulistano FC and 1.63 for Acao. This points to a Acao double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%

Paulistano FC

19%

Draws

61%

Acao

Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Acao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence

Paulistano FC picked up more points recently compared to Acao.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.75 vs 1.63 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 87%

Over 2.5 Goals 69%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%

Paulistano FC Clean Sheet 14%

Acao Clean Sheet 19%

First Half Goal 78%

Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Paulistano FC	Acao
Matches Played	5	32
Wins	0	9
Draws	2	5
Losses	3	18
Goals Scored	0.2	1.34
Goals Conceded	3	1.84
Expected Goals (xG)	0.13	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Matogrossense 2

Paulistano FC vs Acao

Possession: 43% - 53% Cards: 3 - 3

1:2

May 18, 2024 Matogrossense 2

Paulistano FC vs Acao

Possession: 50% - 50% Cards: 2 - 2

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paulistano FC 21 / 100

Acao 59 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Paulistano FC Acao

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Acao Win (2)

Secondary Pick Acao & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +66.6%

8.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.7%

1.59

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Paulistano FC attacking → ← attacking Acao

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paulistano FC scored in 20% of their last 5 games.

Acao let in goals in 91% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Paulistano FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Acao lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

2 Points in last 5 32

0.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sinop FC	4	3	1	0	8:2	10
2	Sorriso EC	4	2	1	1	12:3	7
3	Santa Cruz MT	4	1	3	0	3:1	6
4	Gremio Sorriso	4	1	1	2	4:4	4
5	Campo Novo	4	0	0	4	1:18	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Uirapuru	4	3	1	0	15:4	10
2	Acao	4	2	2	0	8:6	8
3	Cacerense	4	1	1	2	5:4	4
4	Paulistano FC	4	0	2	2	1:6	2
5	Atletico MT	4	0	2	2	3:12	2