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Pavia vs OltrepoVoghera

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 game between Pavia and OltrepoVoghera finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Pavia
30%
Draws
12%
OltrepoVoghera
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pavia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Pavia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Pavia Clean Sheet 20%
OltrepoVoghera Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pavia OltrepoVoghera
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 10 3
Draws 10 13
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 0.91 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 13, 2019 Serie D - Group D
Pavia vs OltrepoVoghera
0:0
Sep 22, 2018 Serie D - Group D
OltrepoVoghera vs Pavia
0:2
Apr 29, 2018 Serie D - Group A
Pavia vs OltrepoVoghera
1:0
Dec 23, 2017 Serie D - Group A
OltrepoVoghera vs Pavia
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pavia 32 / 100
OltrepoVoghera 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pavia OltrepoVoghera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pavia's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

OltrepoVoghera's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Recent resilience: Pavia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pavia VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pavia

(Home)
16 Sept
Pavia
0 : 0
Solbiatese
06 Sept
Pavia
0 : 0
Crema
25 Jul
Pavia
0 : 4
AlbinoLeffe
19 Jul
Pisa
6 : 1
Pavia
10 May
Breno
0 : 1
Pavia
Page 1 of 7

OltrepoVoghera

(Away)
05 May
USD Classe 1974
1 : 1
OltrepoVoghera
28 Apr
OltrepoVoghera
0 : 2
Fiorenzuola
18 Apr
Crema
1 : 0
OltrepoVoghera
14 Apr
OltrepoVoghera
0 : 2
Ciliverghe Mazzano
07 Apr
Fanfulla
2 : 1
OltrepoVoghera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pergolettese 34 22 7 5 62:32 73
2 Modena 34 21 10 3 60:27 73
3 Reggiana 34 19 9 6 57:28 66
4 Fanfulla 34 16 9 9 58:52 57
5 Fiorenzuola 34 16 8 10 52:31 56
6 Crema 34 12 13 9 52:50 49
7 Adrense 34 12 11 11 45:45 47
8 Vigor Carpaneto 34 11 14 9 42:35 47
9 Axys Zola 34 11 8 15 40:45 41
10 Ciliverghe Mazzano 34 11 8 15 38:48 41
11 Lentigione 34 8 15 11 34:36 39
12 Desenzano Calvina 34 8 15 11 40:51 39
13 Pavia 34 9 9 16 32:46 36
14 Mezzolara 34 7 14 13 39:50 35
15 Sasso Marconi 34 8 10 16 31:50 34
16 San Marino Calcio 34 5 16 13 24:32 31
17 USD Classe 1974 34 6 12 16 25:51 30
18 OltrepoVoghera 34 3 14 17 22:44 23
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 (Additional match)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 (Additional match)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2018/2019 (Play Offs)