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Pavia vs Scanzorosciate Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Quaggio A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 game between Pavia and Scanzorosciate finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pavia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Pavia
35%
Draws
36%
Scanzorosciate
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Scanzorosciate

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Scanzorosciate carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Pavia's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Pavia Clean Sheet 20%
Scanzorosciate Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pavia Scanzorosciate
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 10 10
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 0.89 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.29 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Pavia vs Scanzorosciate
1:0
Nov 30, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Scanzorosciate vs Pavia
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pavia Compare

Top Goalscorer Quaggio A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Scanzorosciate Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pavia 36 / 100
Scanzorosciate 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pavia Scanzorosciate

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pavia's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scanzorosciate let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Pavia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pavia VS Scanzorosciate
0.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pavia

(Home)
27 Sept
Pavia
1 : 1
Arconatese
20 Sept
Sant'Angelo
0 : 0
Pavia
16 Sept
Pavia
0 : 0
Solbiatese
06 Sept
Pavia
0 : 0
Crema
25 Jul
Pavia
0 : 4
AlbinoLeffe
Page 1 of 6

Scanzorosciate

(Away)
27 Sept
Scanzorosciate
1 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
20 Sept
Caldiero Terme
1 : 0
Scanzorosciate
16 Sept
Nibbiano & Valtidone
2 : 1
Scanzorosciate
12 Sept
Scanzorosciate
0 : 0
Real Calepina
06 Sept
Fiorenzuola
0 : 3
Scanzorosciate
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore Caratese 34 19 11 4 58:27 68
2 USD Casatese 34 16 13 5 49:28 61
3 Chievo 34 18 6 10 52:43 60
4 AC Milan U23 34 16 8 10 62:37 56
5 AC Leon 34 14 11 9 44:34 53
6 Brusaporto 34 15 6 13 41:38 51
7 Oltrepo 34 15 8 11 38:36 50
8 Scanzorosciate 34 11 14 9 41:33 47
9 Villa Valle 34 13 8 13 43:46 47
10 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 11 13 10 33:31 46
11 Caldiero Terme 34 10 15 9 50:40 45
12 Real Calepina 34 11 9 14 42:47 42
13 Castellanzese 34 10 11 13 41:39 41
14 Breno 34 9 11 14 39:51 38
15 Pavia 34 9 10 15 36:47 37
16 Varesina 34 7 15 12 38:44 36
17 Sondrio 34 8 7 19 37:64 31
18 Vogherese 34 2 8 24 21:80 -17
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)