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Pavlikeni vs Akademik Svishtov Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-West 2025/2026 game between Pavlikeni and Akademik Svishtov finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pavlikeni.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Pavlikeni
15%
Draws
85%
Akademik Svishtov
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Akademik Svishtov

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Akademik Svishtov carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Akademik Svishtov a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Third League - North-West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Akademik Svishtov have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Pavlikeni Clean Sheet 17%
Akademik Svishtov Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pavlikeni Akademik Svishtov
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 22
Draws 3 5
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 1.21 2
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Third League - North-West
Akademik Svishtov vs Pavlikeni
2:1
Mar 7, 2026 Third League - North-West
Pavlikeni vs Akademik Svishtov
1:0
Aug 23, 2025 Third League - North-West
Akademik Svishtov vs Pavlikeni
2:0
Apr 23, 2025 Third League - North-West
Pavlikeni vs Akademik Svishtov
0:2
Nov 27, 2024 Third League - North-West
Akademik Svishtov vs Pavlikeni
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pavlikeni 10 / 100
Akademik Svishtov 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pavlikeni Akademik Svishtov

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Akademik Svishtov Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pavlikeni's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Akademik Svishtov's defensive record shows goals conceded in 42% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Pavlikeni VS Akademik Svishtov
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pavlikeni

(Home)
26 Sept
Akademik Svishtov
2 : 1
Pavlikeni
19 Sept
Pavlikeni
1 : 4
Kom Berkovitsa
12 Sept
Bdin Vidin
3 : 2
Pavlikeni
05 Sept
Pavlikeni
0 : 1
Sevlievo
29 Aug
Chavdar Troyan
1 : 0
Pavlikeni
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Akademik Svishtov

(Away)
26 Sept
Akademik Svishtov
2 : 1
Pavlikeni
19 Sept
Spartak Pleven II
0 : 4
Akademik Svishtov
12 Sept
Akademik Svishtov
0 : 0
Lokomotiv Mezdra
05 Sept
Yantra Polski Trambesh
0 : 2
Akademik Svishtov
30 Aug
Akademik Svishtov
3 : 2
Etar II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokomotiv Mezdra 22 19 1 2 62:20 58
2 Akademik Svishtov 22 17 3 2 40:11 54
3 Kom Berkovitsa 22 13 6 3 46:22 45
4 Bdin Vidin 22 14 1 7 57:26 43
5 Partizan Cerven Brjag 22 8 6 8 25:25 30
6 Pavlikeni 22 9 3 10 29:24 30
7 Etar II 22 8 5 9 32:31 29
8 Yantra Polski Trambesh 22 6 6 10 37:47 24
9 OFK Levski 22 6 5 11 32:35 23
10 Troyan 22 5 1 16 20:56 16
11 Juventus Malchika 22 2 1 19 14:72 4
12 FC Lovech 22 6 0 16 18:43 18
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