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Pavlikeni vs Bdin Vidin

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-West 2025/2026 game between Pavlikeni and Bdin Vidin finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bdin Vidin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Pavlikeni
15%
Draws
57%
Bdin Vidin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bdin Vidin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Pavlikeni haven't matched Bdin Vidin's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Third League - North-West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Pavlikeni Clean Sheet 12%
Bdin Vidin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pavlikeni Bdin Vidin
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 17
Draws 3 1
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.24 2.33
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Third League - North-West
Bdin Vidin vs Pavlikeni
3:2
May 23, 2026 Third League - North-West
Bdin Vidin vs Pavlikeni
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 Third League - North-West
Pavlikeni vs Bdin Vidin
0:1
Mar 15, 2025 Third League - North-West
Bdin Vidin vs Pavlikeni
1:1
Sep 14, 2024 Third League - North-West
Pavlikeni vs Bdin Vidin
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pavlikeni 30 / 100
Bdin Vidin 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pavlikeni Bdin Vidin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bdin Vidin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Pavlikeni found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Bdin Vidin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Away concern: Bdin Vidin has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pavlikeni VS Bdin Vidin
1.13 Goals Scored 2.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
25% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Pavlikeni

(Home)
19 Sept
Pavlikeni
1 : 4
Kom Berkovitsa
12 Sept
Bdin Vidin
3 : 2
Pavlikeni
05 Sept
Pavlikeni
0 : 1
Sevlievo
29 Aug
Chavdar Troyan
1 : 0
Pavlikeni
22 Aug
Pavlikeni
1 : 0
OFK Levski
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Bdin Vidin

(Away)
19 Sept
OFK Levski
2 : 1
Bdin Vidin
12 Sept
Bdin Vidin
3 : 2
Pavlikeni
05 Sept
Spartak Pleven II
2 : 4
Bdin Vidin
29 Aug
Bdin Vidin
0 : 1
Lokomotiv Mezdra
22 Aug
Yantra Polski Trambesh
3 : 1
Bdin Vidin
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokomotiv Mezdra 22 19 1 2 62:20 58
2 Akademik Svishtov 22 17 3 2 40:11 54
3 Kom Berkovitsa 22 13 6 3 46:22 45
4 Bdin Vidin 22 14 1 7 57:26 43
5 Partizan Cerven Brjag 22 8 6 8 25:25 30
6 Pavlikeni 22 9 3 10 29:24 30
7 Etar II 22 8 5 9 32:31 29
8 Yantra Polski Trambesh 22 6 6 10 37:47 24
9 OFK Levski 22 6 5 11 32:35 23
10 Troyan 22 5 1 16 20:56 16
11 Juventus Malchika 22 2 1 19 14:72 4
12 FC Lovech 22 6 0 16 18:43 18
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