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Payasspor vs Fatsa Bld.

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Payasspor play Fatsa Bld. in the 3. Lig Group 1 2020/2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Payasspor averaged 1.03 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. Fatsa Bld. averaged 1.32 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Payasspor won 2, Fatsa Bld. won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 25, 2021 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Payasspor and 0.99 for Fatsa Bld.. This points to a Fatsa Bld. double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Payasspor
19%
Draws
52%
Fatsa Bld.
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Fatsa Bld.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Payasspor picked up more points recently compared to Fatsa Bld..
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 0.99 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Payasspor Clean Sheet 23%
Fatsa Bld. Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Payasspor Fatsa Bld.
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 6 18
Draws 7 6
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.03 1.32
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2021 3. Lig Group 1
Payasspor vs Fatsa Bld.
2:0
Oct 17, 2020 3. Lig Group 1
Fatsa Bld. vs Payasspor
1:0
Apr 12, 2020 3. Lig Group 2
Payasspor vs Fatsa Bld.
0:0
Dec 1, 2019 3. Lig Group 2
Fatsa Bld. vs Payasspor
2:0
Apr 7, 2019 3. Lig Group 3
Payasspor vs Fatsa Bld.
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Payasspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Ates D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Taskiran B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Fatsa Bld. Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Payasspor 31 / 100
Fatsa Bld. 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Payasspor Fatsa Bld.

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Fatsa Bld. or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Payasspor attacking → ← attacking Fatsa Bld.

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Payasspor scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Fatsa Bld. let in goals in 58% of their last 38 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Payasspor went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Fatsa Bld. lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 60
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)30208243:1868
2Bucaspor 192830207358:1867
3Malatya30175850:2756
4Ofspor301411543:3153
5Arnavutkoy Bl.30139840:2948
6Edirnespor Genclik30129934:3145
7Guzide Gebzespor301110941:2943
8Hopaspor301091141:4439
9Fatsa Bld.301081222:3138
10Kizilcabolukspor309101134:3337
11Nevsehir30971431:3134
12Cankaya FK301041628:4834
13Alemdag30961537:4833
14Kemerspor 200330761727:5027
15Payasspor30581729:5623
16Manisaspor30192022:5612