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Paykan vs Shams Azar Qazvin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Paykan host Shams Azar Qazvin in the Persian Gulf Pro League. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Recent numbers: Paykan at 0.67 goals for, 0.85 against; Shams Azar Qazvin at 0.65 for, 0.88 against. Past meetings favor Shams Azar Qazvin slightly — 0-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 28, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (0.76 - 0.56) back Paykan to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Paykan
20%
Draws
29%
Shams Azar Qazvin
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Paykan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Paykan come out ahead of Shams Azar Qazvin on wins alone.
  • Paykan are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
Paykan Clean Sheet 20%
Shams Azar Qazvin Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paykan Shams Azar Qazvin
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 8 5
Draws 7 10
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.67 0.65
Goals Conceded 0.85 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Paykan vs Shams Azar Qazvin
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Shams Azar Qazvin vs Paykan
1:1
Apr 30, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Shams Azar Qazvin vs Paykan
2:1
Nov 10, 2023 Persian Gulf Pro League
Paykan vs Shams Azar Qazvin
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paykan 40 / 100
Shams Azar Qazvin 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paykan Shams Azar Qazvin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paykan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Paykan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Shams Azar Qazvin has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Paykan scored in 44% of their last 27 games.

Scoring Trends

Paykan VS Shams Azar Qazvin
0.63 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Paykan

(Home)
10 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
1 : 0
Paykan
06 Sept
Paykan
2 : 0
Sanat Naft
02 Sept
Zob Ahan
1 : 0
Paykan
28 Aug
Paykan
0 : 0
Esteghlal Khuzestan
24 Aug
Kheybar Khorramabad
2 : 3
Paykan
Page 1 of 6

Shams Azar Qazvin

(Away)
10 Sept
Shams Azar Qazvin
2 : 3
Gol Gohar
06 Sept
Chadormalu
1 : 0
Shams Azar Qazvin
01 Sept
Shams Azar Qazvin
0 : 0
Tractor
28 Aug
Mazandaran
0 : 2
Shams Azar Qazvin
23 Aug
Shams Azar Qazvin
1 : 2
Aluminium Arak
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tractor 7 5 1 1 8:1 16
2 Esteghlal TEH 7 4 3 0 9:1 15
3 Persepolis 6 4 1 1 12:3 13
4 Aluminium Arak 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
5 Sepahan 6 3 1 2 5:4 10
6 Gol Gohar 7 3 1 3 7:7 10
7 Foolad 6 2 3 1 5:3 9
8 Paykan 7 2 2 3 5:6 8
9 Mazandaran 7 2 2 3 4:6 8
10 Chadormalu 7 2 2 3 4:9 8
11 Fajr Sepasi 6 1 4 1 3:3 7
12 Malavan 6 2 1 3 5:8 7
13 Kheybar Khorramabad 6 1 3 2 8:8 6
14 Zob Ahan 6 1 3 2 3:5 6
15 Esteghlal Khuzestan 7 1 3 3 4:9 6
16 Shams Azar Qazvin 7 1 2 4 6:9 5
17 Mes Shahr Babak 7 0 5 2 5:10 5
18 Sanat Naft 7 0 4 3 2:8 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Azadegan League 2027/2028 (Main)