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Paynesville vs BEA Mountain

Liberia Liberia

LFA First Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The LFA First Division game between Paynesville and BEA Mountain finished 0-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward BEA Mountain.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Paynesville
20%
Draws
60%
BEA Mountain
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: BEA Mountain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • BEA Mountain carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives BEA Mountain a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular LFA First Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Paynesville Clean Sheet 10%
BEA Mountain Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paynesville BEA Mountain
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 18
Draws 10 8
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.57 2.23
Goals Conceded 1.67 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 LFA First Division
Paynesville vs BEA Mountain
0:6
Nov 9, 2025 LFA First Division
BEA Mountain vs Paynesville
3:0
Apr 16, 2025 LFA First Division
Paynesville vs BEA Mountain
1:1
Nov 30, 2024 LFA First Division
BEA Mountain vs Paynesville
1:1
Apr 10, 2024 LFA First Division
Paynesville vs BEA Mountain
4:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paynesville 10 / 100
BEA Mountain 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paynesville BEA Mountain

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEA Mountain Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Paynesville found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Paynesville went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

BEA Mountain let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Paynesville VS BEA Mountain
1.13 Goals Scored 3.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Paynesville

(Home)
23 May
Freeport
3 : 3
Paynesville
13 May
Paynesville
0 : 3
LPRC Oiler
09 May
Paynesville
0 : 3
FC Fassell
29 Apr
Paynesville
4 : 2
Wologizi
12 Apr
Liberia Registry
1 : 1
Paynesville
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BEA Mountain

(Away)
15 Aug
Discoveries
1 : 4
BEA Mountain
24 May
Discoveries
1 : 2
BEA Mountain
18 May
BEA Mountain
4 : 0
Borough FC
05 May
BEA Mountain
3 : 1
Liberia Registry
13 Apr
BEA Mountain
4 : 1
Downtown
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Watanga 26 16 8 2 40:20 56
2 BEA Mountain 26 15 7 4 56:22 52
3 FC Fassell 26 13 8 5 31:17 47
4 LPRC Oiler 26 11 8 7 36:29 41
5 Liberia Registry 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
6 Paynesville 26 10 8 8 41:42 38
7 Discoveries 26 9 8 9 31:23 35
8 Wologizi 26 9 7 10 38:40 34
9 Heaven Eleven 26 7 11 8 33:35 32
10 Borough FC 26 6 9 11 33:44 27
11 Downtown 26 7 6 13 32:44 27
12 Gardnersville 26 7 6 13 36:51 27
13 Black Man Warrior 26 4 8 14 16:28 20
14 Freeport 26 4 5 17 38:64 17
15 Jubilee 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)