Sport Picks

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Paysandu FC vs Colon Santa Fe

South America South America

Serie Rio de la Plata Estadio Parque Artigas
Fri, Jan 23, 2026
2 - 1
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Paysandu FC play Colon Santa Fe in the Serie Rio de la Plata. It looks like a close match. Recently, Paysandu FC averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Colon Santa Fe averaged 0.97 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. In past meetings, Paysandu FC won 1, Colon Santa Fe won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 23, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Paysandu FC and 1.56 for Colon Santa Fe. This points to a Colon Santa Fe double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Paysandu FC
26%
Draws
37%
Colon Santa Fe
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Colon Santa Fe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Paysandu FC picked up more points recently compared to Colon Santa Fe.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Paysandu FC Clean Sheet 15%
Colon Santa Fe Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 58%
Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paysandu FC Colon Santa Fe
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 5 10
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.21 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2026 Serie Rio de la Plata
Paysandu FC vs Colon Santa Fe
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paysandu FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Colon Santa Fe Compare

Top Goalscorer Lago I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paysandu FC 36 / 100
Colon Santa Fe 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paysandu FC Colon Santa Fe

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Colon Santa Fe or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +21.4%
3.57
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Paysandu FC attacking → ← attacking Colon Santa Fe

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paysandu FC scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Colon Santa Fe let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Paysandu FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Colon Santa Fe lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 40
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88