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Paysandu FC vs Tacuarembo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Gonzalez N.
31' Event
Mendez A.
39'
Ibanez F.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division game between Paysandu FC and Tacuarembo finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Paysandu FC
35%
Draws
24%
Tacuarembo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Paysandu FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Paysandu FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Tacuarembo have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Paysandu FC Clean Sheet 68%
Tacuarembo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paysandu FC Tacuarembo
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 6
Draws 5 10
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.14 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2026 Segunda Division
Paysandu FC vs Tacuarembo
2:2
Jun 20, 2026 Segunda Division
Tacuarembo vs Paysandu FC
1:0
Oct 16, 2005 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Tacuarembo vs Paysandu FC
1:0
Jun 12, 2005 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Paysandu FC vs Tacuarembo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paysandu FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Tacuarembo Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paysandu FC 41 / 100
Tacuarembo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paysandu FC Tacuarembo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paysandu FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Paysandu FC scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Tacuarembo has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Paysandu FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Paysandu FC VS Tacuarembo
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Paysandu FC

(Home)
10 Oct
Paysandu FC
2 : 1
Rentistas
03 Oct
Miramar
1 : 0
Paysandu FC
28 Sept
Paysandu FC
2 : 2
Tacuarembo
19 Sept
Plaza Colonia
1 : 1
Paysandu FC
12 Sept
Paysandu FC
0 : 1
La Luz
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Tacuarembo

(Away)
10 Oct
Cerrito
2 : 1
Tacuarembo
03 Oct
Tacuarembo
0 : 1
Atenas
28 Sept
Paysandu FC
2 : 2
Tacuarembo
20 Sept
Tacuarembo
1 : 1
Huracan FC
12 Sept
Uruguay Montevideo FC
2 : 2
Tacuarembo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atenas 21 12 4 5 30:18 40
2 River Plate Montevideo 22 9 6 7 34:27 33
3 Rentistas 22 9 6 7 27:25 33
4 Colon 22 9 6 7 23:24 33
5 Club Oriental De Futbol 22 8 8 6 30:25 32
6 Plaza Colonia 21 9 5 7 26:21 32
7 Cerrito 22 8 8 6 29:25 32
8 Fenix 21 7 8 6 27:24 29
9 Paysandu FC 22 8 4 10 28:29 28
10 La Luz 21 7 6 8 19:24 27
11 Huracan FC 21 7 5 9 22:28 26
12 Miramar 21 6 7 8 23:26 25
13 Tacuarembo 22 6 6 10 17:25 24
14 Uruguay Montevideo FC 22 4 5 13 20:34 17
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