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Paysandu PA U20 vs Tocantinopolis U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Brasil U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Braga M.
(Penalty)
15' Event
Braga M.
45' Event
Caua Dias

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with Paysandu PA U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Paysandu PA U20
15%
Draws
42%
Tocantinopolis U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paysandu PA U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Paysandu PA U20 come out ahead of Tocantinopolis U20 on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Paysandu PA U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Paysandu PA U20, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Paysandu PA U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Tocantinopolis U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paysandu PA U20 Tocantinopolis U20
Matches Played 29 24
Wins 16 14
Draws 4 3
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 2.28 2.67
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2025 Copa do Brasil U20
Paysandu PA U20 vs Tocantinopolis U20
4:0
Oct 29, 2025 Copa do Brasil U20
Tocantinopolis U20 vs Paysandu PA U20
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paysandu PA U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Braga M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Caua Dias
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Tocantinopolis U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paysandu PA U20 32 / 100
Tocantinopolis U20 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paysandu PA U20 Tocantinopolis U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tocantinopolis U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paysandu PA U20 found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Tocantinopolis U20 has conceded goals in 67% of their last 24 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Tocantinopolis U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paysandu PA U20 VS Tocantinopolis U20
2.88 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 67%
50% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Paysandu PA U20

(Home)
09 Sept
Paysandu PA U20
5 : 0
Macapa U20
27 May
Internacional U20
2 : 0
Paysandu PA U20
20 May
Paysandu PA U20
0 : 3
Atletico GO U20
12 May
Paysandu PA U20
2 : 0
Sport Recife U20
30 Apr
Operario PR U20
2 : 1
Paysandu PA U20
Page 1 of 6

Tocantinopolis U20

(Away)
05 Nov
Paysandu PA U20
4 : 0
Tocantinopolis U20
29 Oct
Tocantinopolis U20
0 : 2
Paysandu PA U20
22 Oct
Tocantinopolis U20
3 : 0
Rolim de Moura U20
09 Jul
Batalhao U20
2 : 1
Tocantinopolis U20
06 Jul
Tocantinopolis U20
3 : 1
Batalhao U20
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Tocantinopolis U20 3
Rolim de Moura U20 0
Paysandu PA U20 4
Mazagao U20 1
America MG U20 1
Vila Nova FC U20 0
Vasco U20 3
Cuiaba U20 0
Fast Clube U20 1
Monte Roraima U20 2
IAPE U20 1
Santa Cruz AC U20 0
Coritiba U20 0
Novorizontino U20 1
Criciuma U20 1
Operario PR U20 2
CRB U20 1
America RN U20 0
Sport Recife U20 3
Sergipe U20 0
Atletico-MG U20 3
Real Brasilia U20 0
Flamengo RJ U20 4
Porto Vitoria U20 0
Gremio U20 1
EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 0
Sao Paulo U20 8
Operario AC U20 0
Fortaleza U20 5
Piaui U20 0
Bahia U20 7
Cruzeiro-PB U20 0
1/8-finals
Tocantinopolis U20 0
Paysandu PA U20 6
America MG U20 4
Vasco U20 3
Monte Roraima U20 2
IAPE U20 3
Novorizontino U20 4
Operario PR U20 2
CRB U20 1
Sport Recife U20 3
Atletico-MG U20 3
Flamengo RJ U20 2
Gremio U20 1
Sao Paulo U20 2
Fortaleza U20 4
Bahia U20 3
Quarter-finals
Paysandu PA U20 1
America MG U20 2
IAPE U20 2
Novorizontino U20 1
Sport Recife U20 2
Atletico-MG U20 3
Sao Paulo U20 2
Fortaleza U20 1
Semi-finals
America MG U20 6
IAPE U20 2
Atletico-MG U20 1
Sao Paulo U20 3
Final
America MG U20 1
Sao Paulo U20 2