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Paysandu PA vs Barra FC (Santa Catarina)

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Leonidas Sodre de Castro (Curuzu)
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Paysandu PA play Barra FC (Santa Catarina) in the Serie C. It looks like a close match. Recently, Paysandu PA averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Barra FC (Santa Catarina) averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. In past meetings, Paysandu PA won 0, Barra FC (Santa Catarina) won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 18, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Paysandu PA and 1.19 for Barra FC (Santa Catarina). This points to a Paysandu PA double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Paysandu PA
33%
Draws
27%
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Paysandu PA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Paysandu PA has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Barra FC (Santa Catarina).
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Paysandu PA.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie C provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Paysandu PA Clean Sheet 68%
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paysandu PA Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 11
Draws 4 8
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Serie C
Paysandu PA vs Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paysandu PA Compare

Top Goalscorer Kleiton Pego
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Compare

Top Goalscorer Warley Jr
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paysandu PA 50 / 100
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paysandu PA Barra FC (Santa Catarina)

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paysandu PA scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Paysandu PA went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paysandu PA VS Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brusque1373320:1424
2Guarani1365223:1123
3Internacional de Limeira1364316:1422
4Santa Cruz1363413:921
5Paysandu PA1362519:1720
6SER Caxias do Sul1355313:1020
7Botafogo PB1361617:1519
8Maringa FC1354426:2419
9Ituano1354415:1319
10Floresta EC1354415:1419
11Ferroviaria1354412:1119
12Ypiranga FC1353516:1718
13Amazonas1352613:1817
14Volta Redonda1352610:1517
15Figueirense1344512:1816
16Barra FC (Santa Catarina)1336416:1415
17Maranhao133559:1314
18Itabaiana1334611:1713
19Confianca133288:1211
20Anapolis132389:179