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Stadium Background

Paysandu PA vs Capitao Poco

Brazil Brazil

Paraense 2025 Leonidas Sodre de Castro (Curuzu)
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Quintana Y.
39' Event
Rodrigo Inhangapi
45' Event
Bryan Borges

AI Match Summary

The Paraense 2025 game between Paysandu PA and Capitao Poco finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paysandu PA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Paysandu PA
40%
Draws
29%
Capitao Poco
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Paysandu PA come out ahead of Capitao Poco on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Paysandu PA have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Paysandu PA Clean Sheet 20%
Capitao Poco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paysandu PA Capitao Poco
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 24 13
Draws 5 8
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 2.63 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Paraense
Paysandu PA vs Capitao Poco
1:0
Mar 29, 2025 Paraense
Paysandu PA vs Capitao Poco
2:0
Jan 19, 2025 Paraense
Paysandu PA vs Capitao Poco
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paysandu PA Compare

Top Goalscorer Nicolas
2 Goals
Assists Leader Quintana Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Capitao Poco Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrigo Inhangapi
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paysandu PA 32 / 100
Capitao Poco 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paysandu PA Capitao Poco

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paysandu PA found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (38 games).

Defensive concern: Capitao Poco conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Paysandu PA went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paysandu PA VS -
2.63 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Remo852117:417
2Paysandu PA852115:717
3Bragantino PA852111:617
4Castanhal834110:713
5Tuna Luso832312:1211
6Aguia De Maraba83239:1011
7Capitao Poco82519:911
8Santa Rosa83147:910
9Cameta83146:1110
10Sao Francisco82069:166
11Independente81345:126
12Caete81075:123
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Paysandu PA852115:717
2Cameta83146:1110
3Sao Francisco82069:166
4Caete81075:123
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Remo852117:417
2Bragantino PA852111:617
3Castanhal834110:713
4Independente81345:126
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tuna Luso832312:1211
2Aguia De Maraba83239:1011
3Capitao Poco82519:911
4Santa Rosa83147:910