Sport Picks
Paysandu PA vs Castanhal Prediction & H2H Stats
Brazil
Paraense 2025 Leonidas Sodre de Castro (Curuzu), Belem 
Match Events
64'
64'
Nicolas
74'
74'
Cavalleri M.
AI Match Summary
Paysandu PA in this Paraense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paysandu PA.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
15%
73%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Castanhal
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Paysandu PA lately — more wins on the board than Castanhal.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Paysandu PA taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Paysandu PA have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Paysandu PA Clean Sheet 18%
Castanhal Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Paysandu PA | Castanhal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 45 | 30 |
| Wins | 26 | 10 |
| Draws | 3 | 8 |
| Losses | 16 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.73 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 22, 2026 Paraense
Paysandu PA vs Castanhal
1:0
Mar 2, 2025 Paraense
Paysandu PA vs Castanhal
2:0
Mar 3, 2024 Paraense
Paysandu PA vs Castanhal
3:0
Feb 25, 2023 Paraense
Paysandu PA vs Castanhal
2:1
Mar 6, 2022 Paraense
Castanhal vs Paysandu PA
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Paysandu PA Compare
Top Goalscorer Nicolas
1 Goals Assists Leader Cavalleri M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71
Castanhal Compare
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Paysandu PA 36 / 100
Castanhal 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Paysandu PA Castanhal
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Paysandu PA's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 45 recent games.
Castanhal has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Castanhal lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Paysandu PA VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Paysandu PA
(Home) 26 Sept
Internacional de Limeira
2 : 0 Paysandu PA
20 Sept
Paysandu PA
2 : 2 Internacional de Limeira
13 Sept
Ferroviaria
1 : 0 Paysandu PA
07 Sept
Paysandu PA
1 : 2 Brusque
29 Aug
Paysandu PA
0 : 1 Maringa FC
Page 1 of 9
20 Sept
Paysandu PA
2 : 2 Internacional de Limeira
07 Sept
Paysandu PA
1 : 2 Brusque
29 Aug
Paysandu PA
0 : 1 Maringa FC
10 Aug
Paysandu PA
2 : 1 Confianca
12 Jul
Paysandu PA
3 : 2 Guarani
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Castanhal
(Away) 11 Mar
Castanhal
0 : 4 Nova Iguacu
07 Mar
Castanhal
0 : 1 Capitao Poco
28 Feb
Castanhal
1 : 0 Aguia De Maraba
25 Feb
Castanhal
2 : 1 Guarani
22 Feb
Paysandu PA
1 : 0 Castanhal
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22 Feb
Paysandu PA
1 : 0 Castanhal
19 Feb
Capitao Poco
0 : 1 Castanhal
15 Feb
Capitao Poco
2 : 0 Castanhal
04 Feb
Sao Raimundo PA
0 : 1 Castanhal
25 Jan
Cameta
0 : 0 Castanhal
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Remo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:4 | 17 |
| 2 | Paysandu PA | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Bragantino PA | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:6 | 17 |
| 4 | Castanhal | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 5 | Tuna Luso | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:12 | 11 |
| 6 | Aguia De Maraba | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 7 | Capitao Poco | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 8 | Santa Rosa | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | 10 |
| 9 | Cameta | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 10 |
| 10 | Sao Francisco | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9:16 | 6 |
| 11 | Independente | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:12 | 6 |
| 12 | Caete | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paysandu PA | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 2 | Cameta | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 10 |
| 3 | Sao Francisco | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9:16 | 6 |
| 4 | Caete | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Remo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:4 | 17 |
| 2 | Bragantino PA | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:6 | 17 |
| 3 | Castanhal | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 4 | Independente | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:12 | 6 |
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tuna Luso | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:12 | 11 |
| 2 | Aguia De Maraba | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 3 | Capitao Poco | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 4 | Santa Rosa | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | 10 |
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)
