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Paysandu PA vs Maringa FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estadio Olimpico do Para (Mangueirao), Belem
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Match Events

42'
Thiago Rosa
45'
Edilson
54'
Sub
Kleiton Pego In: Thalyson
Out: Kleiton Pego

AI Match Summary

Maringa FC in this Serie C matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maringa FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Paysandu PA
30%
Draws
47%
Maringa FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Maringa FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Paysandu PA average 1.62 goals a game right now, well clear of Maringa FC's 1.59.
  • Win probability leans Maringa FC's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Paysandu PA Clean Sheet 18%
Maringa FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paysandu PA Maringa FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 14
Draws 2 8
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.62 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Serie C
Paysandu PA vs Maringa FC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paysandu PA Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Maringa FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Rai Natalino
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paysandu PA 23 / 100
Maringa FC 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paysandu PA Maringa FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maringa FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Paysandu PA scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Maringa FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Paysandu PA has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Paysandu PA VS Maringa FC
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Paysandu PA

(Home)
03 Oct
Paysandu PA
1 : 0
Ferroviaria
26 Sept
Internacional de Limeira
2 : 0
Paysandu PA
20 Sept
Paysandu PA
2 : 2
Internacional de Limeira
13 Sept
Ferroviaria
1 : 0
Paysandu PA
07 Sept
Paysandu PA
1 : 2
Brusque
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Maringa FC

(Away)
10 Oct
Maringa FC
2 : 0
Floresta EC
03 Oct
Santa Cruz
1 : 1
Maringa FC
26 Sept
Botafogo PB
0 : 0
Maringa FC
19 Sept
Maringa FC
2 : 0
Botafogo PB
12 Sept
Maringa FC
0 : 1
Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo PB 19 10 3 6 28:19 33
2 Brusque 19 9 5 5 28:22 32
3 Ferroviaria 19 8 6 5 22:15 30
4 Maringa FC 19 8 6 5 32:30 30
5 Floresta EC 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
6 Internacional de Limeira 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
7 Paysandu PA 19 9 2 8 26:27 29
8 Santa Cruz 19 8 5 6 20:15 29
9 Ypiranga FC 19 8 5 6 27:24 29
10 Guarani 19 7 7 5 34:24 28
11 Figueirense 19 7 7 5 19:22 28
12 Maranhao 19 7 6 6 19:18 27
13 Amazonas 19 7 5 7 21:23 26
14 SER Caxias do Sul 19 6 7 6 17:16 25
15 Ituano 19 6 4 9 18:21 22
16 Volta Redonda 19 6 3 10 13:25 21
17 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 19 5 6 8 21:21 21
18 Anapolis 19 5 4 10 17:22 19
19 Itabaiana 19 4 5 10 14:27 17
20 Confianca 19 3 4 12 11:20 13
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)