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Paysandu PA vs Santa Cruz

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Leonidas Sodre de Castro (Curuzu)
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Juninho
Own Goal
33'
Edson Miranda
33'
Goncalves G.

AI Match Summary

Santa Cruz in this Serie C matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santa Cruz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Paysandu PA
40%
Draws
29%
Santa Cruz
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Paysandu PA lately — more wins on the board than Santa Cruz.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Paysandu PA Clean Sheet 18%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paysandu PA Santa Cruz
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Serie C
Paysandu PA vs Santa Cruz
1:3
Sep 5, 2021 Serie C
Paysandu PA vs Santa Cruz
1:0
Jul 3, 2021 Serie C
Santa Cruz vs Paysandu PA
1:2
Oct 11, 2020 Serie C
Santa Cruz vs Paysandu PA
2:1
Aug 8, 2020 Serie C
Paysandu PA vs Santa Cruz
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paysandu PA Compare

Top Goalscorer Juninho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Santa Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Everaldo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fabinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paysandu PA 32 / 100
Santa Cruz 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paysandu PA Santa Cruz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paysandu PA's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Santa Cruz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Paysandu PA stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paysandu PA VS Santa Cruz
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Internacional de Limeira1474317:1425
2Brusque1473420:1524
3Santa Cruz1473415:1024
4Paysandu PA1472522:1923
5Guarani1465325:1423
6Botafogo PB1471619:1522
7Maringa FC1464427:2422
8Ferroviaria1464415:1222
9SER Caxias do Sul1456313:1021
10Floresta EC1455415:1420
11Ituano1454516:1619
12Ypiranga FC1453617:1918
13Volta Redonda1453610:1518
14Amazonas1452713:1917
15Maranhao1445511:1417
16Figueirense1445512:1817
17Itabaiana1444612:1716
18Barra FC (Santa Catarina)1436517:1615
19Confianca143298:1411
20Anapolis142399:189