Sport Picks

Turkey

TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2016/2017

Derincespor

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pazarspor play Derincespor in the TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2016/2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, Pazarspor averaged 1.03 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. Derincespor averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, Pazarspor won 2, Derincespor won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 23, 2017 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Pazarspor and 0.94 for Derincespor. This points to a Pazarspor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%

Pazarspor

29%

Draws

16%

Derincespor

Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Pazarspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Pazarspor picked up more points recently compared to Derincespor.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 0.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 60%

Over 2.5 Goals 43%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%

Pazarspor Clean Sheet 24%

Derincespor Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 54%

Second Half Goal 57%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Pazarspor	Derincespor
Matches Played	36	30
Wins	16	4
Draws	10	9
Losses	10	17
Goals Scored	1.03	0.97
Goals Conceded	0.94	1.83

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2017 3. Lig Group 2

Derincespor vs Pazarspor

Possession: 57% - 52% Cards: 3 - 1

1:3

Dec 11, 2016 3. Lig Group 2

Pazarspor vs Derincespor

Possession: 49% - 46% Cards: 4 - 2

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pazarspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Cicek H.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Derincespor Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pazarspor 54 / 100

Derincespor 17 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Pazarspor Derincespor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pazarspor Win (1)

Secondary Pick Pazarspor & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +17.1%

2.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.1%

2.70

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pazarspor attacking → ← attacking Derincespor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pazarspor scored in 64% of their last 36 games.

Derincespor let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Pazarspor went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Derincespor lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

58 Points in last 5 21

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bodrumspor	34	19	8	7	59:31	65
2	Erbaaspor	34	16	12	6	48:29	60
3	Silivrispor	34	16	10	8	34:25	58
4	Manisa FK	34	15	13	6	59:37	58
5	Catalca Spor	34	15	10	9	42:33	55
6	Duzcespor	34	14	12	8	55:46	54
7	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi	34	15	8	11	46:39	53
8	Kirikhanspor	34	12	11	11	36:39	47
9	Kemerspor 2003	34	11	12	11	52:45	45
10	Yomraspor	34	10	14	10	28:29	44
11	Bucaspor 1928	34	11	10	13	41:46	43
12	Batman Petrolspor	34	11	10	13	38:38	43
13	Yesil Bursa	34	11	8	15	40:35	41
14	Dardanelspor	34	11	8	15	42:54	41
15	Pazarspor	34	11	6	17	34:46	39
16	Dersim Spor	34	9	6	19	33:54	33
17	Derincespor	34	5	11	18	31:59	26
18	Kirikkale FK	34	4	11	19	28:61	23